Hybrid Ensemble Learning for EEG-Based Epileptic Seizure Forecasting

Abstract:Epileptic seizure forecasting aims to provide actionable warnings before seizure onset, yet patient-independent generalization and false-alarm control remain major challenges. We propose a calibrated hybrid ensemble for EEG-based seizure forecasting that combines five deep learning models and three classical machine learning models through a logistic regression stacking meta-learner. The proposed pipeline integrates signal preprocessing, handcrafted feature extraction, class-imbalance handling, probability calibration, and clinically motivated post-processing. We evaluate the framework on CHB-MIT using strict Leave-One-Patient-Out (LOPO) cross-validation, with threshold and post-processing parameters selected only on held-out meta data. On the filtered cohort, excluding patients with anomalous preictal rates below 1\% or above 15\%, the model achieves 74.2\% seizure-level sensitivity at 1.24 false alarms per hour, with an average warning time of 16.9 minutes. A test-tuned oracle constrained to the target false-alarm budget achieves 60.9\% sensitivity at 0.951 false alarms per hour, highlighting the importance of reporting sensitivity together with realized false-alarm rates. Our code is available at: this https URL

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2609.35876 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2609.35876v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.35876 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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