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This research proposes a dependency-aware autoscaling framework for serverless environments that leverages multi-model consensus using MLP, LSTM, and CNN predictors to optimize resource management under dynamic workloads. By integrating graph-based bottleneck identification with cold-start awareness, the system achieves high prediction accuracy while reducing infrastructure costs across various cloud pricing models. The core contribution lies in advancing machine learning techniques specifically tailored for efficient scaling decisions in distributed serverless architectures.
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An Auto-Scaling Approach for Serverless Environments Based on a Multi-Expert Consensus Mechanism

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2607.15511v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Serverless computing provides automatic resource management and pay-per-use execution, but effective autoscaling remains challenging because of dynamic workloads, cold-start latency, and dependencies among functions. We present a dependency-aware autoscaling framework that integrates graph-based bottleneck identification, short-term workload forecasting, multi-model consensus, and cost-aware scaling control. Serverless applications are represented as directed dependency graphs, and structurally important functions are identified using weighted degree centrality. Resource demand is predicted using lightweight MLP, LSTM, and CNN models. Their outputs are combined through a performance-weighted probabilistic ensemble inspired by Bayesian model averaging. The controller further incorporates cold-start awareness and cost comparison to select among scale-up, scale-down, and hold actions. Experiments using real workload traces show that supervised forecasting substantially outperforms unsupervised clustering for autoscaling decision generation. The proposed ensemble achieves 99.88 percent prediction accuracy and reduces prediction error compared with representative hybrid forecasting methods. Evaluations across multiple cloud pricing models also demonstrate consistent infrastructure cost reductions while maintaining performance targets. The results show that combining dependency analysis, multi-expert forecasting, and cost-aware control provides a robust and practical solution for serverless autoscaling.

Abstract:Serverless computing provides automatic resource management and pay-per-use execution, but effective autoscaling remains challenging because of dynamic workloads, cold-start latency, and dependencies among functions. We present a dependency-aware autoscaling framework that integrates graph-based bottleneck identification, short-term workload forecasting, multi-model consensus, and cost-aware scaling control. Serverless applications are represented as directed dependency graphs, and structurally important functions are identified using weighted degree centrality. Resource demand is predicted using lightweight MLP, LSTM, and CNN models. Their outputs are combined through a performance-weighted probabilistic ensemble inspired by Bayesian model averaging. The controller further incorporates cold-start awareness and cost comparison to select among scale-up, scale-down, and hold actions. Experiments using real workload traces show that supervised forecasting substantially outperforms unsupervised clustering for autoscaling decision generation. The proposed ensemble achieves 99.88 percent prediction accuracy and reduces prediction error compared with representative hybrid forecasting methods. Evaluations across multiple cloud pricing models also demonstrate consistent infrastructure cost reductions while maintaining performance targets. The results show that combining dependency analysis, multi-expert forecasting, and cost-aware control provides a robust and practical solution for serverless autoscaling.

26 pages, 10 figures, 10 tables, and 7 algorithms. Published in the Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Smart Environments

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing (cs.DC); Performance (cs.PF)

C.4; D.4.8; I.2.6

arXiv:2607.15511 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2607.15511v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.15511 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Smart Environments, 2026, pp. 1-26

https://doi.org/10.1177/18761364261459585 Focus to learn more DOI(s) linking to related resources

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 323 words

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