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This research advances causal discovery by establishing theoretical conditions under which causal graphs remain identifiable despite missing data, including complex Missing Not At Random scenarios. The authors provide a framework to extend correctness guarantees from complete-data algorithms and introduce two new asymptotically correct methods for Additive Noise Models that recover both graph structure and parameters. These contributions are significant for improving the robustness of machine learning models in real-world settings where data incompleteness is common.
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Generalizing Identifiability Results in Causal Discovery from Complete Data to Missing Data Settings

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.19211v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: While causal discovery methods have matured for complete data, such algorithms for handling missing values remain limited. We establish general sufficient conditions under which causal graphs remain identifiable (i.e., uniquely determined from the available data distribution) under various missingness categories, including Missing Not At Random, and provide a framework to extend correctness guarantees from causal discovery algorithms for complete data to missing data settings. Our results show that identifiability of causal graphs with no unobserved confounders is preserved when (1) missingness mechanisms do not causally interact, (2) no variable directly causes its own missingness, and (3) either faithfulness holds for missingness mechanisms, or they follow generalized linear models. Guided by these theoretical results, we introduce two asymptotically correct algorithms for Additive Noise Models (ANMs) that recover the underlying causal graph and provide consistent parameter estimates.

Abstract:While causal discovery methods have matured for complete data, such algorithms for handling missing values remain limited. We establish general sufficient conditions under which causal graphs remain identifiable (i.e., uniquely determined from the available data distribution) under various missingness categories, including Missing Not At Random, and provide a framework to extend correctness guarantees from causal discovery algorithms for complete data to missing data settings. Our results show that identifiability of causal graphs with no unobserved confounders is preserved when (1) missingness mechanisms do not causally interact, (2) no variable directly causes its own missingness, and (3) either faithfulness holds for missingness mechanisms, or they follow generalized linear models. Guided by these theoretical results, we introduce two asymptotically correct algorithms for Additive Noise Models (ANMs) that recover the underlying causal graph and provide consistent parameter estimates.

Machine Learning (stat.ML); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Methodology (stat.ME)

arXiv:2610.19211 [stat.ML]

(or arXiv:2610.19211v1 [stat.ML] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.19211 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 237 words

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