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This research introduces VoS, a trajectory-level monitor that learns the optimal timing and mechanism for steering Large Language Model agents based on counterfactual outcome analysis. By moving beyond simple uncertainty signals, the method improves agent performance across benchmarks while strictly adhering to a harm budget to limit unnecessary interventions. The findings highlight that training on measured outcomes is essential for effectively guiding LLM behavior without degrading success rates.
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From Uncertainty to Action: Learning to Steer LLM Agents

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2610.09115v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Steering an LLM agent means deciding whether to correct it, at which step, and with which mechanism. Uncertainty is often used to decide when to correct an agent, but whether it can guide these decisions remains unclear. We steer agent trajectories separately at every non-terminal step with each of four mechanisms and run each continuation to completion. The resulting stepwise outcome table (SOT) holds about 82,000 counterfactual continuations of 1,864 trajectories from three benchmarks and two agents. It shows that uncertainty can identify failing trajectories, but that no single signal reliably locates the step at which steering helps. We therefore propose VoS (Value of Steering), a trajectory-level monitor, offline or online, that learns from SOT the value of steering at each step and decides where to steer by it. A harm-budgeted trigger decides whether to steer, limiting the fraction of successful trajectories that VoS disturbs. VoS improves on unmodified execution in all 12 settings of benchmark, agent, and offline or online use, by 7.8 points on average, and outperforms the strongest of five existing uncertainty-triggered methods in 11, by 2.9 points on average. Ablations show that training on measured outcomes and a tight harm budget are both essential.

Abstract:Steering an LLM agent means deciding whether to correct it, at which step, and with which mechanism. Uncertainty is often used to decide when to correct an agent, but whether it can guide these decisions remains unclear. We steer agent trajectories separately at every non-terminal step with each of four mechanisms and run each continuation to completion. The resulting stepwise outcome table (SOT) holds about 82,000 counterfactual continuations of 1,864 trajectories from three benchmarks and two agents. It shows that uncertainty can identify failing trajectories, but that no single signal reliably locates the step at which steering helps. We therefore propose VoS (Value of Steering), a trajectory-level monitor, offline or online, that learns from SOT the value of steering at each step and decides where to steer by it. A harm-budgeted trigger decides whether to steer, limiting the fraction of successful trajectories that VoS disturbs. VoS improves on unmodified execution in all 12 settings of benchmark, agent, and offline or online use, by 7.8 points on average, and outperforms the strongest of five existing uncertainty-triggered methods in 11, by 2.9 points on average. Ablations show that training on measured outcomes and a tight harm budget are both essential.

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computation and Language (cs.CL); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2610.09115 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2610.09115v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.09115 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 299 words

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