ClinTraceBench: Source-Verifiable Longitudinal Clinical Reasoning over EHR-Derived Dialogues

Abstract:Clinical LLM assistants must reason over multi-visit patient trajectories, yet whether the compact history representations used to scale them---retrieval, structured timelines, LLM summaries, agentic memory---preserve the longitudinal signal clinical reasoning needs has not been measured. We introduce ClinTraceBench: 385 MIMIC-IV-derived verified dialogues with event-ID provenance, a nine-task taxonomy (T1--T9), and L0--L4 deterministic + L5 human-audit validation (98.92\% agreement). We evaluate eight history representation strategies---a no-context floor, \textit{last-visit-only}, \textit{full-context}, BGE-M3 \textit{dense-retrieval}, two compression schemes, and two agentic-memory systems (\textit{Mem0}, \textit{A-Mem})---across four backbones (DeepSeek-V3, GPT-4o-mini, Haiku~4.5, Sonnet~4.6) on 6{,}271 questions: 32 cells, 200{,}672 predictions. Four findings: (SP4) a controlled T3 injection probe isolates compression-induced \textit{relation} loss---with the attribution sentence present \textit{before} construction, \textit{Mem0}, \textit{A-Mem} and \textit{llm-summary} still recover only 0--5.3\% of the injected positives; (SP1) compressed strategies pay an aggregation tax on multi-visit trends and cross-patient comparisons; (SP2) the blind-to-full gap spans $+29.8$~pp (GPT-4o-mini) to $+62.7$~pp (Haiku); (SP3) abstention scales non-monotonically with context length. On the Pareto frontier Haiku dominates Sonnet under \textit{full-context} (\$25.76 vs.\ \$106.21), inverting the ``biggest backbone wins'' heuristic.

Computation and Language (cs.CL)

arXiv:2609.01111 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2609.01111v1 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.01111 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website.

Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them.

Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.