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This research proposes a hypothesis-testing framework using Weight of Evidence to rigorously evaluate the stability and alignment of feature importance methods like LIME and SHAP. By quantifying how well attribution scores support specific hypotheses, the work offers a principled way to assess XAI tools beyond simple score visualization. The findings provide theoretical links between evidence weight and attribution variance, advancing the reliability of explainable AI techniques.
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Assessing Alignment and Stability of Feature Importance Explanations via Weight of Evidence

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2609.00090v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Feature importance Methods (FIMs) are widely used in Explainable AI to interpret model predictions, yet attribution scores alone often provide limited insight into the underlying reasoning process. In this work, we introduce a novel perspective by embedding FIMs within a hypothesis-testing framework based on Weight of Evidence (WoE). We quantify how strongly the observed evidence supports any given hypothesis on feature importance. The reference hypothesis can stem from domain knowledge, ground truth, or be derived from the FIM itself. This formulation enables a principled evaluation of FIMs, capturing both their alignment with prior knowledge and their variability. We further provide theoretical results linking WoE to attribution variance. Empirical results shows the applicability and flexibility of our strategy analyzing LIME and SHAP explanations in settings with different reference hypotheses. Overall, our framework offers a complementary tool for assessing FIMs through a contrastive, evidence-based lens.

Abstract:Feature importance Methods (FIMs) are widely used in Explainable AI to interpret model predictions, yet attribution scores alone often provide limited insight into the underlying reasoning process. In this work, we introduce a novel perspective by embedding FIMs within a hypothesis-testing framework based on Weight of Evidence (WoE). We quantify how strongly the observed evidence supports any given hypothesis on feature importance. The reference hypothesis can stem from domain knowledge, ground truth, or be derived from the FIM itself. This formulation enables a principled evaluation of FIMs, capturing both their alignment with prior knowledge and their variability. We further provide theoretical results linking WoE to attribution variance. Empirical results shows the applicability and flexibility of our strategy analyzing LIME and SHAP explanations in settings with different reference hypotheses. Overall, our framework offers a complementary tool for assessing FIMs through a contrastive, evidence-based lens.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2609.00090 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2609.00090v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.00090 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 240 words

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