When Chain-of-Thought Fails, the Solution Hides in the Hidden States

arXiv:2604.23351v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Whether intermediate reasoning is computationally useful or merely explanatory depends on whether chain-of-thought (CoT) tokens contain task-relevant information. We present a mechanistic causal analysis of CoT on GSM8K using activation patching: transferring token-level hidden states from a CoT generation to a direct-answer run for the same question, then measuring the effect on final-answer accuracy. Across models, generating after patching yields substantially higher accuracy than both direct-answer prompting and the original CoT trace, revealing that individual CoT tokens can encode sufficient information to recover the correct answer, even when the original trace is incorrect. This task-relevant information is more prevalent in correct than incorrect CoT runs and is unevenly distributed across tokens, concentrating in mid-to-late layers and appearing earlier in the reasoning trace. Moreover, patching language tokens such as verbs and entities carry task-solving information that steers generation toward correct reasoning, whereas mathematical tokens encode answer-proximal content that rarely succeeds. Patched outputs are often shorter and yet exceed the accuracy of a full CoT trace, suggesting complete reasoning chains are not always necessary. Together, these findings demonstrate that CoT encodes recoverable, token-level problem-solving information, offering new insight into how reasoning is represented and where it breaks down.

Abstract:Whether intermediate reasoning is computationally useful or merely explanatory depends on whether chain-of-thought (CoT) tokens contain task-relevant information. We present a mechanistic causal analysis of CoT on GSM8K using activation patching: transferring token-level hidden states from a CoT generation to a direct-answer run for the same question, then measuring the effect on final-answer accuracy. Across models, generating after patching yields substantially higher accuracy than both direct-answer prompting and the original CoT trace, revealing that individual CoT tokens can encode sufficient information to recover the correct answer, even when the original trace is incorrect. This task-relevant information is more prevalent in correct than incorrect CoT runs and is unevenly distributed across tokens, concentrating in mid-to-late layers and appearing earlier in the reasoning trace. Moreover, patching language tokens such as verbs and entities carry task-solving information that steers generation toward correct reasoning, whereas mathematical tokens encode answer-proximal content that rarely succeeds. Patched outputs are often shorter and yet exceed the accuracy of a full CoT trace, suggesting complete reasoning chains are not always necessary. Together, these findings demonstrate that CoT encodes recoverable, token-level problem-solving information, offering new insight into how reasoning is represented and where it breaks down.

Computation and Language (cs.CL); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2604.23351 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2604.23351v2 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.23351 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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When Chain-of-Thought Fails, the Solution Hides in the Hidden States

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