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This study challenges the universal applicability of AI scaling laws by demonstrating that in data-scarce Earth observation tasks, smaller models paired with higher input resolution significantly outperform larger counterparts. The research provides a critical efficiency inversion for practitioners deploying computer vision systems on constrained hardware or limited datasets, showing that model size is not always the primary driver of performance.
Source coveringarXiv

When Bigger is Worse: A Practitioner's Guide to Model Selection Under Data Scarcity

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2603.02142v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Scaling laws assume larger models trained on more data consistently outperform smaller ones -- an assumption that drives model selection in computer vision but remains untested in resource-constrained Earth observation (EO). We conduct a systematic efficiency analysis across three scaling dimensions: model size, dataset size, and input resolution, on rooftop photovoltaic (PV) detection in Madagascar, yielding 180 training runs across 60 configurations. Optimizing for model efficiency (mAP$_{50}$ per unit of model size), we find a consistent efficiency inversion: YOLO11N achieves the highest efficiency ($22\times$ higher than YOLO11X) with no accuracy penalty: it reaches the second highest absolute mAP$_{50}$ (0.459), outperforming all models except YOLO11S by a margin smaller than run-to-run variance, directly contradicting the scaling prior. Resolution is the dominant resource allocation lever: moving from 416 px to 1280 px at 10 % of the data matches the efficiency gain of collecting the full dataset at low resolution. These findings are robust to the deployment objective: small high-resolution configurations are Pareto-dominant across all 60 experimental setups in the joint accuracy-throughput space, leaving no tradeoff to resolve. In data-scarce EO, the scaling prior does not just fail: it inverts.

Abstract:Scaling laws assume larger models trained on more data consistently outperform smaller ones -- an assumption that drives model selection in computer vision but remains untested in resource-constrained Earth observation (EO). We conduct a systematic efficiency analysis across three scaling dimensions: model size, dataset size, and input resolution, on rooftop photovoltaic (PV) detection in Madagascar, yielding 180 training runs across 60 configurations. Optimizing for model efficiency (mAP$_{50}$ per unit of model size), we find a consistent efficiency inversion: YOLO11N achieves the highest efficiency ($22\times$ higher than YOLO11X) with no accuracy penalty: it reaches the second highest absolute mAP$_{50}$ (0.459), outperforming all models except YOLO11S by a margin smaller than run-to-run variance, directly contradicting the scaling prior. Resolution is the dominant resource allocation lever: moving from 416 px to 1280 px at 10 % of the data matches the efficiency gain of collecting the full dataset at low resolution. These findings are robust to the deployment objective: small high-resolution configurations are Pareto-dominant across all 60 experimental setups in the joint accuracy-throughput space, leaving no tradeoff to resolve. In data-scarce EO, the scaling prior does not just fail: it inverts.

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2603.02142 [cs.CV]

(or arXiv:2603.02142v2 [cs.CV] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.02142 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 286 words

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