Headline and summary only
The publisher's terms don't allow us to store or analyse its articles, so Ask does not use this one and no take is written from it. Once other publishers report the story, a take written from their reporting appears here. The full story is on the publisher's site.
‘We were wrong’: From Dewey to Trump, the polling misses hanging over the 2026 midterm forecasts
Forecasters favor Democrats on Election Day. But response rates have collapsed, and presidential polls have missed toward Democrats three cycles running. (153 characters)
Read the full article at FortuneRelated coverage
Americans say the economy is bad but keep spending. Don’t mistake the midterm polls for a forecast
Fortune · Oct 25, 2026
This top data scientist’s (non-AI) model finds Republicans have just one chance in six of holding Senate
Fortune · Oct 31, 2026
The data scientist who called Trump’s 2024 win now gives Democrats a 78% shot at the Senate
Fortune · Oct 24, 2026
Top data scientist sees Republican Senate chances rise slightly, but model still predicts that Democrats will flip 5 seats
Fortune · Oct 27, 2026