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This research introduces a novel offline optimization framework that resolves the counterfactual evaluation problem in open-ended dialogue by predicting future user feedback from static logs. By converting dynamic conversational signals into fixed validation targets, the method enables reproducible skill evolution without requiring live traffic deployment for every candidate model update. This advancement is significant for improving frozen language-model agents while maintaining privacy and reducing computational overhead associated with online testing.
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Verifiable Self-Evolution for Open-Ended Dialogue Skills via Future-Feedback Prediction

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2607.18973v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Textual skills provide a lightweight way to improve frozen language-model agents, but their self-evolution normally requires a stable validation signal. Such signals are natural in mathematics or code, where an answer can be checked after it changes, yet are problematic in open-ended dialogue: changing the assistant response also changes the user's next reaction, so a logged reaction cannot directly evaluate a counterfactual response. We propose future-feedback skill evolution, which first redirects self-evolution from prescribing the current answer to predicting whether the observed answer will lead to a positive or negative subsequent user signal. This prediction task is verifiable on fixed logged tuples and therefore supports validation-gated textual optimization. The evolved feedback skill captures interpretable criteria for response quality and can subsequently serve as a diagnostic and optimization target for answer skills. On a proprietary, privacy-preserving sales-assistant dataset, careful quality filtering and a balanced resolved/unresolved split yield more than 75% prediction accuracy. Beyond this result, the central contribution is a formulation that converts otherwise moving conversational feedback into a fixed offline learning target, enabling reproducible skill evolution without placing every candidate skill in live traffic. We discuss the boundary between observational verification and counterfactual validity, and position the method as an offline optimization stage rather than a replacement for final human or online evaluation.

Abstract:Textual skills provide a lightweight way to improve frozen language-model agents, but their self-evolution normally requires a stable validation signal. Such signals are natural in mathematics or code, where an answer can be checked after it changes, yet are problematic in open-ended dialogue: changing the assistant response also changes the user's next reaction, so a logged reaction cannot directly evaluate a counterfactual response. We propose future-feedback skill evolution, which first redirects self-evolution from prescribing the current answer to predicting whether the observed answer will lead to a positive or negative subsequent user signal. This prediction task is verifiable on fixed logged tuples and therefore supports validation-gated textual optimization. The evolved feedback skill captures interpretable criteria for response quality and can subsequently serve as a diagnostic and optimization target for answer skills. On a proprietary, privacy-preserving sales-assistant dataset, careful quality filtering and a balanced resolved/unresolved split yield more than 75% prediction accuracy. Beyond this result, the central contribution is a formulation that converts otherwise moving conversational feedback into a fixed offline learning target, enabling reproducible skill evolution without placing every candidate skill in live traffic. We discuss the boundary between observational verification and counterfactual validity, and position the method as an offline optimization stage rather than a replacement for final human or online evaluation.

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Computation and Language (cs.CL); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2607.18973 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2607.18973v1 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.18973 arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Full text under the publisher's open licence · 275 words

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