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This paper introduces a training-free inference framework that mitigates error propagation in LLM-based operations research by using short lookahead simulations to select coherent mathematical formulations. By dynamically resampling candidates based on predictive uncertainty, the method significantly outperforms standard baselines across multiple OR benchmarks without requiring parameter updates. This approach directly addresses critical reliability issues when deploying large language models for complex optimization tasks where modeling coherence is paramount.
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Uncertainty-Aware Simulation-Based Inference for Operations Research with Large Language Models

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2608.00019v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deploying large language models (LLMs) for operations research (OR) tasks remains challenging because correctness depends on a coherent modeling process, not merely a correct final answer. Standard autoregressive generation operates on a myopic policy, which sometimes fails to anticipate whether a partial formulation can be validly extended into a globally consistent optimization model. Consequently, locally plausible steps may propagate into catastrophic downstream formulation or solver code errors. To address this, we propose an uncertainty-aware, training-free inference framework for OR mathematical modeling. Without updating model parameters, our method evaluates intermediate candidate steps using short lookahead simulations to quantify downstream predictive uncertainty or probability concentration. Candidates that demonstrate a higher likelihood of yielding coherent mathematical formulations are then dynamically selected via importance resampling. Empirical evaluations across multiple OR benchmarks (including NL4OPT, MAMO, and IndustryOR) demonstrate that our framework consistently outperforms both standard and low-temperature baselines, establishing an efficient, training-free paradigm for reliable OR formulation generation.

Abstract:Deploying large language models (LLMs) for operations research (OR) tasks remains challenging because correctness depends on a coherent modeling process, not merely a correct final answer. Standard autoregressive generation operates on a myopic policy, which sometimes fails to anticipate whether a partial formulation can be validly extended into a globally consistent optimization model. Consequently, locally plausible steps may propagate into catastrophic downstream formulation or solver code errors. To address this, we propose an uncertainty-aware, training-free inference framework for OR mathematical modeling. Without updating model parameters, our method evaluates intermediate candidate steps using short lookahead simulations to quantify downstream predictive uncertainty or probability concentration. Candidates that demonstrate a higher likelihood of yielding coherent mathematical formulations are then dynamically selected via importance resampling. Empirical evaluations across multiple OR benchmarks (including NL4OPT, MAMO, and IndustryOR) demonstrate that our framework consistently outperforms both standard and low-temperature baselines, establishing an efficient, training-free paradigm for reliable OR formulation generation.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2608.00019 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2608.00019v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.00019 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 250 words

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