aiqbench analysis
This research investigates whether supervised fine-tuning can enable language models to perform coherent decision-making by preserving beliefs, maximizing expected utility, and recognizing missing information across diverse domains. The study demonstrates that targeted training significantly improves a model's ability to distinguish between irrelevant context and critical data needed to justify actions, even when facing unseen framings or incomplete information. These findings advance the field of machine learning by addressing the gap between predictive accuracy and reliable, rational decision execution.
Training Language Models To Be Coherent Decision-Makers
arXiv:2610.09164v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable decision-making requires more than accurate prediction: a model must preserve its beliefs, apply the relevant utilities, and recognize when the information needed to justify an action is missing. We study whether language models can learn this decision procedure from supervised fine-tuning and generalize it across domains and differing natural-language expressions of the decision challenge. Across 20 datasets, we explore challenges of belief instability and decision-making errors by first eliciting probabilities of outcomes and then varying only the utilities and the framing of the decision problems, while holding the evidence fixed. We train models to preserve elicited beliefs while selecting the action that maximizes expected utility, and evaluate transfer to unseen application domains, held-out framings, and different classes of payoff structures. We further introduce incomplete-information settings in which required utilities are withheld and replaced with irrelevant text, testing whether models can distinguish missing decision-relevant information from merely additional context. We find that targeted fine-tuning substantially improves coherent decision-making and that in many situations, learning transfers across domains and framings to situations unobserved during training. Further, models trained for decidability learn to identify when action cannot be justified based on missing information. Finally, we show the value of a routed system that considers separately the recognition of decision completeness and utility-sensitive decision execution.
Abstract:Reliable decision-making requires more than accurate prediction: a model must preserve its beliefs, apply the relevant utilities, and recognize when the information needed to justify an action is missing. We study whether language models can learn this decision procedure from supervised fine-tuning and generalize it across domains and differing natural-language expressions of the decision challenge. Across 20 datasets, we explore challenges of belief instability and decision-making errors by first eliciting probabilities of outcomes and then varying only the utilities and the framing of the decision problems, while holding the evidence fixed. We train models to preserve elicited beliefs while selecting the action that maximizes expected utility, and evaluate transfer to unseen application domains, held-out framings, and different classes of payoff structures. We further introduce incomplete-information settings in which required utilities are withheld and replaced with irrelevant text, testing whether models can distinguish missing decision-relevant information from merely additional context. We find that targeted fine-tuning substantially improves coherent decision-making and that in many situations, learning transfers across domains and framings to situations unobserved during training. Further, models trained for decidability learn to identify when action cannot be justified based on missing information. Finally, we show the value of a routed system that considers separately the recognition of decision completeness and utility-sensitive decision execution.
Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
arXiv:2610.09164 [cs.AI]
(or arXiv:2610.09164v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.09164 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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