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TokenPowerSandbox introduces an evidence-gated workflow that leverages CPU-based projection and limited GPU probes to accurately predict energy consumption for LLM serving without exhaustive profiling. The research demonstrates high correlation in energy metrics but highlights a critical limitation where low concurrency triggers abstention, proving that energy efficiency alone cannot certify latency performance. This work advances the practical deployment of sustainable AI infrastructure by addressing the cost and reliability challenges of configuration comparison under realistic request shapes.
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TokenPowerSandbox: Evidence-Gated CPU-First Screening for Energy-Aware LLM Serving

arXiv1 min read

arXiv:2608.18149v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Energy-aware LLM serving requires comparing configurations under realistic request shapes, yet exhaustive target-GPU profiling is costly and a cheap predictor can be dangerously confident outside its measured scope. We present TokenPowerSandbox, an evidence-gated workflow that combines an interpretable CPU-resident projector, short target-GPU probes, full-workload verification, and tamper-evident freeze-before-measurement provenance. On one NVIDIA H100 80GB serving Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct with vLLM, three anchor repeats and six development workloads calibrate workload transfer. The same frozen model is evaluated on a blind holdout and a separately predeclared no-refit confirmation totaling 51 post-freeze runs. Energy MAPE is 6.23% and 7.35%, with Spearman rank correlations of 0.976 and 0.933. However, a predeclared TTFT gate passes at concurrency four (9.27% MAPE) and triggers abstention below four (64.80%), showing why energy accuracy cannot certify latency.

Abstract:Energy-aware LLM serving requires comparing configurations under realistic request shapes, yet exhaustive target-GPU profiling is costly and a cheap predictor can be dangerously confident outside its measured scope. We present TokenPowerSandbox, an evidence-gated workflow that combines an interpretable CPU-resident projector, short target-GPU probes, full-workload verification, and tamper-evident freeze-before-measurement provenance. On one NVIDIA H100 80GB serving Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct with vLLM, three anchor repeats and six development workloads calibrate workload transfer. The same frozen model is evaluated on a blind holdout and a separately predeclared no-refit confirmation totaling 51 post-freeze runs. Energy MAPE is 6.23% and 7.35%, with Spearman rank correlations of 0.976 and 0.933. However, a predeclared TTFT gate passes at concurrency four (9.27% MAPE) and triggers abstention below four (64.80%), showing why energy accuracy cannot certify latency.

Hardware Architecture (cs.AR); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing (cs.DC); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Performance (cs.PF)

arXiv:2608.18149 [cs.AR]

(or arXiv:2608.18149v1 [cs.AR] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.18149 arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Full text under the publisher's open licence · 158 words

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