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This arXiv preprint measures how compute time and energy scale with input (prefill) and output (decode) token counts in LLM inference. Its main finding is that decode costs grow linearly with output length, while prefill costs grow both linearly and quadratically with input length, so long agentic contexts matter more than output-only estimates suggest. For practitioners estimating the energy of API-served models, the claim that compute time can stand in for energy when direct measurements are unavailable is the most actionable point, though it depends on the hardware and model configurations tested.
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The Real Cost of Context: Predicting Compute Time and Energy Consumption in LLM Prefill and Decode Phases

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.39621v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The integration of Large Language Models (LLMs) into agentic architectures has substantially increased token consumption, raising concerns about their energy footprint. Yet, estimating the energy consumption of proprietary API-based models remains challenging, and existing approaches focus primarily on generated output tokens while overlooking the impact of the large input contexts characteristic of agentic workflows. To address this gap, we systematically profile compute time and energy consumption across a wide range of prefill (input) and decode (output) token lengths. Using generalized linear models, we show that decode compute time and energy scale linearly with output length, whereas prefill compute time and energy exhibit both linear and quadratic scaling with input length. These findings demonstrate that input context becomes a relevant factor for large-context workloads. Furthermore, we show that compute time serves as a reliable proxy for energy consumption when direct energy measurements are unavailable. Our mapping framework enables precise energy estimation and supports more sustainable deployment decisions for agentic AI.

Abstract:The integration of Large Language Models (LLMs) into agentic architectures has substantially increased token consumption, raising concerns about their energy footprint. Yet, estimating the energy consumption of proprietary API-based models remains challenging, and existing approaches focus primarily on generated output tokens while overlooking the impact of the large input contexts characteristic of agentic workflows. To address this gap, we systematically profile compute time and energy consumption across a wide range of prefill (input) and decode (output) token lengths. Using generalized linear models, we show that decode compute time and energy scale linearly with output length, whereas prefill compute time and energy exhibit both linear and quadratic scaling with input length. These findings demonstrate that input context becomes a relevant factor for large-context workloads. Furthermore, we show that compute time serves as a reliable proxy for energy consumption when direct energy measurements are unavailable. Our mapping framework enables precise energy estimation and supports more sustainable deployment decisions for agentic AI.

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2610.39621 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2610.39621v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.39621 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 253 words

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