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This research introduces the Marked Edge Walk (MEW), a novel MCMC algorithm designed to improve sampling of graph partitions for redistricting analysis. By operating on spanning trees with marked edges, MEW reduces bias inherent in previous methods like RevReCom and enables more flexible generation of policy-based distributions. This advancement offers researchers better tools for creating unbiased ensembles of district plans that adhere to specific compactness and partisan symmetry constraints.
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The Marked Edge Walk: A Novel MCMC Algorithm for Sampling of Graph Partitions

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2510.17714v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Novel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have enabled the generation of large ensembles of redistricting plans modeled as a graph partitioning problem. However, existing algorithms such as Reversible Recombination (RevReCom) and Metropolized Forest Recombination (MFR) have strong preferences for distributions related to the spanning tree measure. In this paper we introduce the Marked Edge Walk (MEW), a novel Markov chain proposal for sampling from the space of graph partitions. The walk operates on the space of spanning trees with marked edges, allowing for calculable transition probabilities for use in the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. Empirical results on real-world dual graphs show convergence under a broad class of target distributions less constrained by spanning tree counts, including policy-based distributions, such as competitiveness on New Hampshire that are independent of spanning trees, and compactness and partisan symmetry distributions on New Hampshire and Texas that, while related to spanning trees, can now be properly targeted with a smaller degree of spanning tree bias, which represents an advancement in flexible ensemble generation.

Abstract:Novel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have enabled the generation of large ensembles of redistricting plans modeled as a graph partitioning problem. However, existing algorithms such as Reversible Recombination (RevReCom) and Metropolized Forest Recombination (MFR) have strong preferences for distributions related to the spanning tree measure. In this paper we introduce the Marked Edge Walk (MEW), a novel Markov chain proposal for sampling from the space of graph partitions. The walk operates on the space of spanning trees with marked edges, allowing for calculable transition probabilities for use in the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. Empirical results on real-world dual graphs show convergence under a broad class of target distributions less constrained by spanning tree counts, including policy-based distributions, such as competitiveness on New Hampshire that are independent of spanning trees, and compactness and partisan symmetry distributions on New Hampshire and Texas that, while related to spanning trees, can now be properly targeted with a smaller degree of spanning tree bias, which represents an advancement in flexible ensemble generation.

Data Structures and Algorithms (cs.DS); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph)

arXiv:2510.17714 [cs.DS]

(or arXiv:2510.17714v3 [cs.DS] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2510.17714 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 268 words

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