The Curse of Precision: A Data Scaling Law for High-Precision Robotic Manipulation

Abstract:While scaling laws for imitation learning have primarily focused on generalization in open-world settings, the relationship between data and precision in closed-world tasks like robotic assembly remains largely unexplored. This paper systematically investigates this relationship and introduces a novel scaling law. We find that to achieve a fixed success rate, the required number of demonstrations $N$ grows super-exponentially as the target precision $P$ approaches a limit $c$. This relationship is accurately captured by the model $\log(N) \propto 1/(P-c)$. Crucially, we reveal that the limit precision $c$ is not a static physical constant of the task but an emergent property of the entire agent system, including its sensors and expert policy. Through experiments on canonical manipulation tasks, we validate this law and demonstrate that improving system components, such as adding a wrist camera or using a more effective expert, measurably lowers $c$, thus expanding the system's achievable precision. Our work provides a new theoretical framework for precision in robotics and a quantitative metric to evaluate system capabilities. Furthermore, these findings provide a practical methodology for guiding the development and debugging of high-precision manipulation systems.

8 pages, 4 figures. Accepted to the 2026 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation (ICRA 2026)

Robotics (cs.RO)

arXiv:2607.23108 [cs.RO]

(or arXiv:2607.23108v1 [cs.RO] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.23108 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website.

Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them.

Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.