aiqbench analysis
This study applies the TabPFN tabular foundation model to geotechnical engineering tasks, demonstrating its ability to handle sparse borehole data without retraining. By leveraging SHAP attributions and predictive distribution visualization, the work prioritizes interpretability and uncertainty quantification over raw accuracy gains against traditional methods like XGBoost or random forests. The primary contribution is establishing a practical evaluation workflow for integrating foundation models into data-scarce scientific domains where understanding model logic is critical.
TabPFN Extensions for Interpretable Geotechnical Modelling
arXiv:2603.21033v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Geotechnical site characterisation relies on sparse, heterogeneous borehole data, where uncertainty quantification and interpretability matter as much as predictive accuracy. We evaluate TabPFN~\citep{Hollmann2025}, a tabular foundation model, and its \texttt{tabpfn-extensions} library on two geotechnical tasks: (1) soil-type classification from N-value and shear-wave velocity data as a controlled illustrative case, and (2) iterative imputation of five mechanical parameters ($s_\mathrm{u}$, $E_{\mathrm{u}}$, ${\sigma'}_\mathrm{p}$, $C_\mathrm{c}$, $C_\mathrm{v}$) in BM/AirportSoilProperties/2/2025. Without retraining, we apply cosine-similarity analysis to TabPFN embeddings, visualise predictive distributions, and compute SHAP attributions. On the regression benchmark we compare TabPFN with mean imputation, linear regression, random forests, XGBoost, and HBM; introduce a proxy decomposition of predictive uncertainty across context-perturbation classes; and propagate marginal $C_\mathrm{c}$ and ${\sigma'}_\mathrm{p}$ distributions through a one-dimensional consolidation model to obtain the reliability index $\beta$ and serviceability exceedance probability $P_\mathrm{f}$. Embeddings exhibit label-consistent Clay/Sand grouping; iterative imputation reduces RMSE for all five targets, with TabPFN lowest on four; SHAP attributions are consistent with the Skempton compression-index correlation and the inverse preconsolidation-pressure-water-content dependence; the within-posterior component is largest in the proxy decomposition. We position the contribution as a worked evaluation workflow that may complement established methods for data-scarce geotechnics, not as algorithmic innovation.
Abstract:Geotechnical site characterisation relies on sparse, heterogeneous borehole data, where uncertainty quantification and interpretability matter as much as predictive accuracy. We evaluate TabPFN~\citep{Hollmann2025}, a tabular foundation model, and its \texttt{tabpfn-extensions} library on two geotechnical tasks: (1) soil-type classification from N-value and shear-wave velocity data as a controlled illustrative case, and (2) iterative imputation of five mechanical parameters ($s_\mathrm{u}$, $E_{\mathrm{u}}$, ${\sigma'}_\mathrm{p}$, $C_\mathrm{c}$, $C_\mathrm{v}$) in BM/AirportSoilProperties/2/2025. Without retraining, we apply cosine-similarity analysis to TabPFN embeddings, visualise predictive distributions, and compute SHAP attributions. On the regression benchmark we compare TabPFN with mean imputation, linear regression, random forests, XGBoost, and HBM; introduce a proxy decomposition of predictive uncertainty across context-perturbation classes; and propagate marginal $C_\mathrm{c}$ and ${\sigma'}_\mathrm{p}$ distributions through a one-dimensional consolidation model to obtain the reliability index $\beta$ and serviceability exceedance probability $P_\mathrm{f}$. Embeddings exhibit label-consistent Clay/Sand grouping; iterative imputation reduces RMSE for all five targets, with TabPFN lowest on four; SHAP attributions are consistent with the Skempton compression-index correlation and the inverse preconsolidation-pressure-water-content dependence; the within-posterior component is largest in the proxy decomposition. We position the contribution as a worked evaluation workflow that may complement established methods for data-scarce geotechnics, not as algorithmic innovation.
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science (cs.CE); Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2603.21033 [cs.CE]
(or arXiv:2603.21033v3 [cs.CE] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2026.2707500 DOI(s) linking to related resources
Full text under the publisher's open licence · 215 words
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