aiqbench analysis
This paper introduces STQA, a new benchmark evaluating large language models on financial reasoning tasks that combine historical data with future forecasts. The study highlights a significant performance gap between handling past records and performing reliable tool coordination for predictive queries under uncertainty. This work is central to advancing trustworthy AI agents capable of navigating complex, time-sensitive financial environments.
STQA: A Benchmark for Stock-Focused Tabular Question Answering over Historical and Forecasted Data
arXiv:2609.06117v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Stock market analysis inherently requires composite reasoning over historical records and future projections, yet existing benchmarks remain fragmented across isolated tasks. We introduce STQA (Stock-focused Tabular Question Answering), an end-to-end benchmark designed to systematically evaluate natural-language question answering over historical data, numerical forecasts, and forecast-based reasoning. Built on a large-scale financial dataset, STQA covers 4,417 stocks and contains 31,400 question-answer pairs derived from expert-crafted templates, accompanied by fine-grained intent and slot annotations. To operationalize this benchmark, we present SQFRS (Stock Query-Forecast-Reasoning System), an agent-based unified framework that orchestrates SQL retrieval and time-series forecasting tools. Experiments demonstrate that while current large language models perform well on historical queries, forecast-based reasoning poses a substantial challenge, revealing critical bottlenecks in tool coordination and reasoning under uncertainty. The dataset and code are available at https://github.com/xuxubaobaoan/STQA_Project. STQA thus serves as a rigorous testbed for future research on trustworthy, tool-augmented financial agents.
Abstract:Stock market analysis inherently requires composite reasoning over historical records and future projections, yet existing benchmarks remain fragmented across isolated tasks. We introduce STQA (Stock-focused Tabular Question Answering), an end-to-end benchmark designed to systematically evaluate natural-language question answering over historical data, numerical forecasts, and forecast-based reasoning. Built on a large-scale financial dataset, STQA covers 4,417 stocks and contains 31,400 question-answer pairs derived from expert-crafted templates, accompanied by fine-grained intent and slot annotations. To operationalize this benchmark, we present SQFRS (Stock Query-Forecast-Reasoning System), an agent-based unified framework that orchestrates SQL retrieval and time-series forecasting tools. Experiments demonstrate that while current large language models perform well on historical queries, forecast-based reasoning poses a substantial challenge, revealing critical bottlenecks in tool coordination and reasoning under uncertainty. The dataset and code are available at this https URL. STQA thus serves as a rigorous testbed for future research on trustworthy, tool-augmented financial agents.
9 pages of main text, 15 pages of appendices, 19 figures. Accepted to Findings of EMNLP 2026
Computation and Language (cs.CL)
arXiv:2609.06117 [cs.CL]
(or arXiv:2609.06117v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.06117 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 260 words
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