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STELLAR addresses critical gaps in biodiversity monitoring by jointly modeling spatio-temporal dynamics and long-tail species distributions within a shared latent space. The framework's architecture integrates graph attention for spatial context, contrastive learning for environmental clustering, and asymmetric loss to specifically target rare species prediction. This approach offers a robust solution for conservation planning where existing methods often fail to capture historical community trajectories or handle severe data imbalance.
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STELLAR: Spatio-Temporal Environmental Learning with Latent Alignment and Refinement for Long-Tailed Species Distribution Modeling

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2606.08484v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Joint Species Distribution Modeling (JSDM) is a key enabler for biodiversity monitoring and conservation planning. However, accurate JSDM faces two coupled challenges: environmental drivers and species distributions are inherently spatio-temporal, while species co-occurrence patterns exhibit complex non-linear community structure and severe long-tail imbalance driven by rare species. Existing approaches often address these factors in isolation, learning from static covariates or neglecting the historical trajectories of dynamic community structure. To overcome these limitations, we propose STELLAR (Spatio-Temporal Environmental Learning with Latent Alignment and Refinement), a novel framework that learns a shared latent space where dynamic habitat context and community structure are optimized jointly. Our approach integrates three complementary components: (1) a Graph-Temporal Encoder that employs graph attention and recurrent units to aggregate spatial neighborhood effects and capture the co-evolving historical dynamics of environmental context and community structure; (2) a Context-Anchored Latent Alignment mechanism that structures the latent space using a label-activated mixture prior and supervised contrastive learning, actively clustering species based on shared environmental preferences; and (3) an Imbalance-Aware Decoupled Decoding module that utilizes Asymmetric Loss to focus learning on hard, rare species samples, preventing mode collapse in the long tail. Experiments on the large-scale eBird dataset, curated with domain experts, demonstrate that our framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, particularly in predicting rare species and revealing interpretable species interactions.

Abstract:Joint Species Distribution Modeling (JSDM) is a key enabler for biodiversity monitoring and conservation planning. However, accurate JSDM faces two coupled challenges: environmental drivers and species distributions are inherently spatio-temporal, while species co-occurrence patterns exhibit complex non-linear community structure and severe long-tail imbalance driven by rare species. Existing approaches often address these factors in isolation, learning from static covariates or neglecting the historical trajectories of dynamic community structure. To overcome these limitations, we propose STELLAR (Spatio-Temporal Environmental Learning with Latent Alignment and Refinement), a novel framework that learns a shared latent space where dynamic habitat context and community structure are optimized jointly. Our approach integrates three complementary components: (1) a Graph-Temporal Encoder that employs graph attention and recurrent units to aggregate spatial neighborhood effects and capture the co-evolving historical dynamics of environmental context and community structure; (2) a Context-Anchored Latent Alignment mechanism that structures the latent space using a label-activated mixture prior and supervised contrastive learning, actively clustering species based on shared environmental preferences; and (3) an Imbalance-Aware Decoupled Decoding module that utilizes Asymmetric Loss to focus learning on hard, rare species samples, preventing mode collapse in the long tail. Experiments on the large-scale eBird dataset, curated with domain experts, demonstrate that our framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, particularly in predicting rare species and revealing interpretable species interactions.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2606.08484 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2606.08484v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.08484 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 315 words

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