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This research introduces Long-Transduction, a diagnostic framework that quantifies how open-weight models degrade in reliability as context length, input complexity, and formatting variability increase. The findings reveal significant failure rates—up to 62.8% drop with longer contexts—that highlight critical bottlenecks for building robust long-horizon autonomous agents. These results are essential for developers aiming to ensure state consistency and alignment in complex, multi-step AI workflows.
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Staying on Task: Testing the Foundations of Long-Horizon Agent Reliability

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2609.38712v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon agentic workflows require models to sustain repeated state-dependent actions all while the context grows, sub-task complexity changes, and new data arrives. Each situation represents an independent axis along which an agent may fail. An agent reconciling a long ledger, for example, must repeatedly read its state, update the correct record, and preserve alignment across thousands of outputs. A model may accept the entire ledger yet lose its place or stop applying the operation consistently as generation proceeds. We introduce Long-Transduction, a controlled diagnostic that tests a model's ability to stay on task during long generation while continuously reading, mutating, and outputting input-context dependent operations such as arithmetic, sorting, variable lookups, and table transformations. Long-Transduction evaluation independently varies local task complexity, input data formatting, and context length isolate failures along each axis. We evaluate seven open-weight models, finding a 62.8\% decrease when scaling context length from 4-128K, a 36.5\% decrease when varying input format, and a 39.9\% decrease by increasing local task complexity. Together, these failures represent critical liabilities in long-horizon agentic workflows.

Abstract:Long-horizon agentic workflows require models to sustain repeated state-dependent actions all while the context grows, sub-task complexity changes, and new data arrives. Each situation represents an independent axis along which an agent may fail. An agent reconciling a long ledger, for example, must repeatedly read its state, update the correct record, and preserve alignment across thousands of outputs. A model may accept the entire ledger yet lose its place or stop applying the operation consistently as generation proceeds. We introduce Long-Transduction, a controlled diagnostic that tests a model's ability to stay on task during long generation while continuously reading, mutating, and outputting input-context dependent operations such as arithmetic, sorting, variable lookups, and table transformations. Long-Transduction evaluation independently varies local task complexity, input data formatting, and context length isolate failures along each axis. We evaluate seven open-weight models, finding a 62.8\% decrease when scaling context length from 4-128K, a 36.5\% decrease when varying input format, and a 39.9\% decrease by increasing local task complexity. Together, these failures represent critical liabilities in long-horizon agentic workflows.

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2609.38712 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2609.38712v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.38712 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 267 words

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