Spectral and Conformal: Neural Network Methods for Calibrated Trajectory Prediction and Control-Point Intervals

arXiv:2611.00231v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Autonomous systems that navigate their environment need methods to quickly assess the feasibility and safety of desired trajectories. Traditional solutions that rely on numerical integration can be computationally heavy, while fast data-driven surrogates lack the formal guarantees that numerical approaches provide. This work demonstrates a framework that uses (1) a neural network with a spectral backbone to learn trajectories and quantile bands with built-in constraints (initial conditions and stability); (2) a modified conformal quantile regression to provide calibrated, joint trajectory-level coverage; and (3) interval arithmetic to extend noise-free coverage guarantees to control points. After refactoring the network for inference, the trajectory inference time for a quadrotor under a closed-loop linear quadratic regulator is 3.45~ms on a Raspberry Pi Zero 2 W. The total pipeline time, including trajectory inference time, is 9.81~ms, or approximately 100~Hz, consistent with typical control rates.