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This research addresses a critical gap in AI ethics by modeling how credit-lending algorithms interact with dynamic socioeconomic feedback loops, moving beyond static fairness metrics. By formalizing these interactions as performative Markov Decision Processes, the study demonstrates that accounting for downstream equity and population behavior changes yields superior long-term efficiency compared to classical reinforcement learning approaches. The work provides a vital framework for developing AI systems in high-stakes domains where algorithmic decisions actively reshape the environments they are designed to manage.
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Simulating Eutopia: Revisiting Long-term Fairness with Outcomes, Performativity, and Dynamics

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2607.19389v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As AI-driven Decision Makers (ADMs) influence our socioeconomic reality, their roles in both enhancing efficiency and amplifying the social biases have drawn attention. In this paper, we revisit the nuances of long-term `fairness' achievable by an ADM, specifically in the context of a credit lending induced wealth process. The literature on long-term fairness mostly (a) considers passive environments, i.e. the outcome of a predictor does not change the population's behaviour, and (b) measures bias in terms of disparity in instantaneous predictions rather than the downstream equity. These are not true for modern ADMs, like credit lenders. To address these caveats, we first formalise the wealth dynamics induced by a loan approving ADM interacting with a multi-demographic population as a performative Markov Decision Process with ADM level and social outcome level reward functions. Then, we mitigate the absence of such a performative test-bed by developing Eutopia: a lending-process simulator enabled with a novel performative data generator to learn long-term fair strategies. Finally, we test performative and classical RL algorithms with different fairness-aware and utilitarian utilities. Experimental results show that (a) learning with performative dynamics lead to better long-term efficiency and equity, and (b) learning with well-designed fairness-aware utility evaluated on social outcomes induces better efficiency, equity, and inclusivity.

Abstract:As AI-driven Decision Makers (ADMs) influence our socioeconomic reality, their roles in both enhancing efficiency and amplifying the social biases have drawn attention. In this paper, we revisit the nuances of long-term `fairness' achievable by an ADM, specifically in the context of a credit lending induced wealth process. The literature on long-term fairness mostly (a) considers passive environments, i.e. the outcome of a predictor does not change the population's behaviour, and (b) measures bias in terms of disparity in instantaneous predictions rather than the downstream equity. These are not true for modern ADMs, like credit lenders. To address these caveats, we first formalise the wealth dynamics induced by a loan approving ADM interacting with a multi-demographic population as a performative Markov Decision Process with ADM level and social outcome level reward functions. Then, we mitigate the absence of such a performative test-bed by developing Eutopia: a lending-process simulator enabled with a novel performative data generator to learn long-term fair strategies. Finally, we test performative and classical RL algorithms with different fairness-aware and utilitarian utilities. Experimental results show that (a) learning with performative dynamics lead to better long-term efficiency and equity, and (b) learning with well-designed fairness-aware utility evaluated on social outcomes induces better efficiency, equity, and inclusivity.

Computers and Society (cs.CY); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

arXiv:2607.19389 [cs.CY]

(or arXiv:2607.19389v1 [cs.CY] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.19389 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 311 words

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