aiqbench analysis
This paper addresses the theoretical challenge of sequential prediction when feedback comes from a deceptive source, establishing logarithmic regret bounds in both stochastic and adversarial settings. By formalizing how to minimize cost under unreliable comparative queries, it advances foundational understanding for robust machine learning systems operating with untrustworthy data streams. The work contributes directly to the field of Machine Learning through rigorous analysis of algorithmic performance under information asymmetry.
Sequence prediction under a lying oracle
arXiv:2608.14102v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We consider the problem of sequential prediction of an $m$-ary sequence, where at each epoch, (i) the environment selects an outcome from an $m$-ary alphabet, (ii) the learner selects a probability distribution over the same alphabet (unaware of the outcome generated by the environment), and finally, (iii) the learner incurs a cost that depends on the probability assigned to the outcome. The cost function we consider captures the complexity of predicting the outcome generated by the environment, in a scenario where the aforementioned prediction is performed via comparative queries to a lying oracle. We consider both stochastic and adversarial environments, propose algorithms for both settings, and establish logarithmic upper bounds on their regret.
Abstract:We consider the problem of sequential prediction of an $m$-ary sequence, where at each epoch, (i) the environment selects an outcome from an $m$-ary alphabet, (ii) the learner selects a probability distribution over the same alphabet (unaware of the outcome generated by the environment), and finally, (iii) the learner incurs a cost that depends on the probability assigned to the outcome. The cost function we consider captures the complexity of predicting the outcome generated by the environment, in a scenario where the aforementioned prediction is performed via comparative queries to a lying oracle. We consider both stochastic and adversarial environments, propose algorithms for both settings, and establish logarithmic upper bounds on their regret.
Machine Learning (cs.LG); Information Theory (cs.IT)
arXiv:2608.14102 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2608.14102v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.14102 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 210 words
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