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This research advances multi-agent decision-making by optimizing spacecraft collision avoidance through semi-decentralized Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (SDec-POMDPs). By explicitly modeling ground-station visibility constraints, the proposed RS-SDA* algorithm achieves near-centralized safety performance while reducing synchronization events by 28.5%. This work is significant for autonomous space systems where continuous communication links are operationally unfeasible.
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Semi-Decentralized Multi-Spacecraft Collision Avoidance under Communication Constraints

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2607.26570v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Current spacecraft collision-avoidance operations rely on intermittent ground-station contacts, requiring operators to plan with delayed and asynchronously updated information. Consequently, maneuvers must be planned with only intermittent information sharing between operators, raising the question of how much coordination is needed to achieve collision-avoidance performance comparable to centralized planning. Although decision-theoretic approaches such as partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) capture the sequential and uncertain nature of collision avoidance, existing multiagent extensions typically assume either continuous information sharing or communication models that do not reflect operational ground-station constraints. To explicitly model this intermittent information availability, we formulate the spacecraft-to-spacecraft collision avoidance problem as a semi-decentralized POMDP (SDec-POMDP), where we govern information propagation directly by realistic ground-station visibility windows. Joint maneuver policies are computed using approximate Recursive Small-Step Semi-Decentralized A* (RS-SDA*), following the state-of-the-art A*-based lineage for decentralized multiagent planning. Across a representative suite of conjunction scenarios, semi-decentralized planning recovers near-centralized maneuver quality while requiring 28.5% fewer synchronization events than continuous coordination. Comparisons with representative rule-based operator heuristics further show that communication-aware planning more consistently achieves the desired operational miss-distance band while minimizing unnecessary trajectory deviation. Together, these results establish a practical planning framework for autonomous collision avoidance under realistic intermittent communication, bridging the gap between idealized centralized coordination and fully decentralized planning execution.

Abstract:Current spacecraft collision-avoidance operations rely on intermittent ground-station contacts, requiring operators to plan with delayed and asynchronously updated information. Consequently, maneuvers must be planned with only intermittent information sharing between operators, raising the question of how much coordination is needed to achieve collision-avoidance performance comparable to centralized planning. Although decision-theoretic approaches such as partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) capture the sequential and uncertain nature of collision avoidance, existing multiagent extensions typically assume either continuous information sharing or communication models that do not reflect operational ground-station constraints. To explicitly model this intermittent information availability, we formulate the spacecraft-to-spacecraft collision avoidance problem as a semi-decentralized POMDP (SDec-POMDP), where we govern information propagation directly by realistic ground-station visibility windows. Joint maneuver policies are computed using approximate Recursive Small-Step Semi-Decentralized A* (RS-SDA*), following the state-of-the-art A*-based lineage for decentralized multiagent planning. Across a representative suite of conjunction scenarios, semi-decentralized planning recovers near-centralized maneuver quality while requiring 28.5% fewer synchronization events than continuous coordination. Comparisons with representative rule-based operator heuristics further show that communication-aware planning more consistently achieves the desired operational miss-distance band while minimizing unnecessary trajectory deviation. Together, these results establish a practical planning framework for autonomous collision avoidance under realistic intermittent communication, bridging the gap between idealized centralized coordination and fully decentralized planning execution.

Robotics (cs.RO); Systems and Control (eess.SY)

arXiv:2607.26570 [cs.RO]

(or arXiv:2607.26570v1 [cs.RO] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.26570 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 309 words

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