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The paper proposes estimating robot policy performance from existing offline trajectories using fitted Q-evaluation and a pretrained vision encoder, rather than generating new rollouts in the real world, a simulator, or a learned video world model. Its claimed advantage is avoiding compounding prediction errors on long-horizon manipulation, but the results are from controlled experiments on specific simulated and real tasks, so generalization is still open. For AI readers, the practical question is whether offline off-policy evaluation can reliably rank visual robot policies before deployment.
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RoboFQE: Rollout-Free Evaluation of Visual Robot Policies from Offline Trajectories

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.18699v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evaluating robot policies before deployment typically requires producing new trajectories through real-world execution, simulators, or learned world models. These rollout-based approaches impose infrastructure requirements; simulator and world-model evaluators additionally face prediction errors that can compound over the evaluation horizon. In this paper, we study off-policy evaluation as an alternative to rollout-based robot-policy evaluation methods. Specifically, we introduce RoboFQE, an evaluator that estimates the discounted expected return of a target policy from offline robot trajectories without estimating a behavior-policy density, combining fitted Q-evaluation with a pretrained vision foundation model and learned terminal success annotation to bridge the gap between standard OPE benchmarks and continuous-control visual manipulation. Controlled experiments across simulated and real-world manipulation tasks show that RoboFQE produces accurate discounted-return estimates and preserves policy rankings even on long-horizon manipulation tasks where video world-model evaluators are degraded by autoregressive prediction errors. Ablation experiments show that pretrained vision encoders substantially outperform from-scratch alternatives, particularly on long-horizon tasks, and that learned terminal success annotation enables evaluation without ground-truth reward labels with only slight reduction of accuracy.

Abstract:Evaluating robot policies before deployment typically requires producing new trajectories through real-world execution, simulators, or learned world models. These rollout-based approaches impose infrastructure requirements; simulator and world-model evaluators additionally face prediction errors that can compound over the evaluation horizon. In this paper, we study off-policy evaluation as an alternative to rollout-based robot-policy evaluation methods. Specifically, we introduce RoboFQE, an evaluator that estimates the discounted expected return of a target policy from offline robot trajectories without estimating a behavior-policy density, combining fitted Q-evaluation with a pretrained vision foundation model and learned terminal success annotation to bridge the gap between standard OPE benchmarks and continuous-control visual manipulation. Controlled experiments across simulated and real-world manipulation tasks show that RoboFQE produces accurate discounted-return estimates and preserves policy rankings even on long-horizon manipulation tasks where video world-model evaluators are degraded by autoregressive prediction errors. Ablation experiments show that pretrained vision encoders substantially outperform from-scratch alternatives, particularly on long-horizon tasks, and that learned terminal success annotation enables evaluation without ground-truth reward labels with only slight reduction of accuracy.

Robotics (cs.RO)

arXiv:2610.18699 [cs.RO]

(or arXiv:2610.18699v1 [cs.RO] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.18699 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 265 words

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