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This research addresses the critical challenge of fixed-price inference failure in resource-constrained environments by introducing a controller that certifies feasible target bands and utilizes a realized information clock for localized debiasing. The study demonstrates that standard cheap exploration strategies are insufficient for inference when resource states collapse target support, necessitating additional local movement to achieve shrinking confidence intervals. For practitioners in sequential decision-making, this work provides a rigorous framework for maintaining calibration and diagnostic abstention when operational constraints limit feasible action spaces.
Source coveringarXiv
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Resource-Constrained Adaptive Inference for Sequential Pricing

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2606.03736v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Resource-constrained pricing controllers can make fixed-price inference impossible: the controller's resource state may remove the target price neighborhood from the feasible set, even when every realized action has a known positive density. We formalize this support-exclusion failure through a local non-identification result and a realized information clock. We then design a target-aware pricing controller that certifies feasible target bands and logs continuous local densities. Localized debiasing gives studentized intervals whose width is governed by this clock. The resulting regret--information accounting, stated up to pilot re-solving error, shows that cheap exploration can be insufficient for inference: polynomial target mass gives polynomial rates, while a pure $1/t$ target branch does not yield shrinking fixed-target intervals without additional local movement. Experiments show calibration in certified bands and diagnostic abstention when the resource state collapses target support.

Abstract:Resource-constrained pricing controllers can make fixed-price inference impossible: the controller's resource state may remove the target price neighborhood from the feasible set, even when every realized action has a known positive density. We formalize this support-exclusion failure through a local non-identification result and a realized information clock. We then design a target-aware pricing controller that certifies feasible target bands and logs continuous local densities. Localized debiasing gives studentized intervals whose width is governed by this clock. The resulting regret--information accounting, stated up to pilot re-solving error, shows that cheap exploration can be insufficient for inference: polynomial target mass gives polynomial rates, while a pure $1/t$ target branch does not yield shrinking fixed-target intervals without additional local movement. Experiments show calibration in certified bands and diagnostic abstention when the resource state collapses target support.

Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2606.03736 [stat.ML]

(or arXiv:2606.03736v1 [stat.ML] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.03736 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 230 words

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