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This research demonstrates how deep neural network ensembles can perform quantum parameter estimation while successfully quantifying uncertainty and detecting data drift, addressing key limitations of standard machine learning approaches in this domain. The method achieves faster inference speeds compared to traditional Bayesian techniques without sacrificing accuracy, making it a viable candidate for real-time experimental deployment. By bridging the gap between classical ensemble methods and quantum inference needs, this work advances the practical utility of AI tools within quantum physics research.
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Quantum parameter estimation with uncertainty quantification from continuous measurement data using neural network ensembles

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2509.10756v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We show that ensembles of deep neural networks, called deep ensembles, can be used to perform quantum parameter estimation while also providing a means for quantifying uncertainty in parameter estimates, which is a key advantage of using Bayesian inference for parameter estimation that is lost when using existing machine learning methods. We show that optimizing for both accurate parameter estimates and well calibrated uncertainty estimates does not lead to degradation in the former as opposed to only optimizing for accuracy. We also show that the drift detection capabilities of these ensemble models can be used to detect drift in the experimental data used during inference. This approach is also shown to provide much faster inference time than both likelihood-based and likelihood-free Bayesian inference. These results suggest that such models could enable accurate, real-time parameter estimation with quantified uncertainty, making them promising candidates for deployment in experimental settings.

Abstract:We show that ensembles of deep neural networks, called deep ensembles, can be used to perform quantum parameter estimation while also providing a means for quantifying uncertainty in parameter estimates, which is a key advantage of using Bayesian inference for parameter estimation that is lost when using existing machine learning methods. We show that optimizing for both accurate parameter estimates and well calibrated uncertainty estimates does not lead to degradation in the former as opposed to only optimizing for accuracy. We also show that the drift detection capabilities of these ensemble models can be used to detect drift in the experimental data used during inference. This approach is also shown to provide much faster inference time than both likelihood-based and likelihood-free Bayesian inference. These results suggest that such models could enable accurate, real-time parameter estimation with quantified uncertainty, making them promising candidates for deployment in experimental settings.

Quantum Physics (quant-ph); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2509.10756 [quant-ph]

(or arXiv:2509.10756v4 [quant-ph] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2509.10756 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 242 words

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