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This study evaluates the viability of quantum approximate optimization algorithms (QAOA) for discrete global minimum variance portfolio models on noisy intermediate-scale quantum computers. While thermal relaxation noise currently negates potential advantages, the analysis suggests that stochastic measurement noise will eventually allow favorable scaling in shot requirements as hardware improves. The work provides a rigorous numerical pipeline assessing robustness across different optimization routines and noise regimes.
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Quantifying the advantages of applying quantum approximate algorithms to portfolio optimisation

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2410.16265v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a quantum algorithm for portfolio optimisation. Specifically, We present san end-to-end quantum approximate optimisation algorithm to solve the discrete global minimum variance portfolio model. This model finds a portfolio of risky assets with the lowest possible risk contingent on the number of traded assets being discrete. We provide a complete pipeline for this model and analyse its viability for noisy intermediate-scale quantum computers. We design initial states, a cost operator, and ans\"atze within a binary encoding. Further, we perform numerical simulations to analyse several optimisation routines, including layerwise optimisation, utilising constrained optimisation by linear approximation and dual annealing. Finally, we consider the impacts of thermal relaxation and stochastic measurement noise. We find dual annealing with a layerwise optimisation routine provides the most robust performance. We observe that realistic thermal relaxation noise levels preclude quantum advantage. However, stochastic measurement noise will dominate when hardware sufficiently improves. Within this regime, we numerically demonstrate a favourable scaling in the number of shots required to obtain the global minimum -- an indication of quantum advantage in portfolio optimisation.

Abstract:We present a quantum algorithm for portfolio optimisation. Specifically, We present san end-to-end quantum approximate optimisation algorithm to solve the discrete global minimum variance portfolio model. This model finds a portfolio of risky assets with the lowest possible risk contingent on the number of traded assets being discrete. We provide a complete pipeline for this model and analyse its viability for noisy intermediate-scale quantum computers. We design initial states, a cost operator, and ansätze within a binary encoding. Further, we perform numerical simulations to analyse several optimisation routines, including layerwise optimisation, utilising constrained optimisation by linear approximation and dual annealing. Finally, we consider the impacts of thermal relaxation and stochastic measurement noise. We find dual annealing with a layerwise optimisation routine provides the most robust performance. We observe that realistic thermal relaxation noise levels preclude quantum advantage. However, stochastic measurement noise will dominate when hardware sufficiently improves. Within this regime, we numerically demonstrate a favourable scaling in the number of shots required to obtain the global minimum -- an indication of quantum advantage in portfolio optimisation.

arXiv:2410.16265 [quant-ph]

(or arXiv:2410.16265v2 [quant-ph] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2410.16265 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Quantum Sci. Technol. 11 (2026) 025034

https://doi.org/10.1088/2058-9565/ae4a48 Focus to learn more DOI(s) linking to related resources

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