QiYao-M: Multimodal Time Series Foundation Model with Role-Aware Modeling of Endogenous and Exogenous Modalities

Abstract:Existing multimodal time series foundation models (TSFMs) typically model heterogeneous modalities through largely shared mechanisms, overlooking the distinct forecasting roles of endogenous and exogenous modalities. In this work, we propose QiYao-M, a role-aware multimodal TSFM that models the two types of modalities separately. For endogenous modalities, to capture how they evolve along with the underlying temporal dynamics, we introduce an Endo-Multimodal Predictor and Endo-Multimodal Supervision to explicitly learn their evolution from history to the future. For exogenous modalities, to generalize across domains and across various modality types and numbers under the scarcity of exo-multimodal pretraining data, we propose an Exo-Multimodal Retrieval Enhancer that enables rapid downstream adaptation without updating the TSFM parameters. We further introduce Endo-Modality Proxy Training to train this retrieval module without exogenous multimodal pretraining data. Extensive experiments across unimodal and multimodal benchmarks demonstrate strong forecasting performance in scenarios both with and without exogenous modalities.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2609.34842 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2609.34842v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.34842 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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