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This is a protocol paper, so it reports no model results. It proposes a pre-registered, portable way to test LLM fairness across a society's social, confessional, and regional groups, starting with Iraq. Its most useful contribution for practitioners is the list of failure modes it found in its own seed bank, such as evaluation criteria leaking into prompts and token swaps that break Arabic grammatical agreement, which are likely to affect other counterfactual fairness benchmarks.
Source coveringarXiv

Qistas: A Pre-Registered, Portable Protocol for Fairness Evaluation of Large Language Models

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2610.40893v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Fairness benchmarks for large language models (LLMs) are overwhelmingly English-born and American in their social categories; translated versions carry those categories into societies where they do not apply, and almost none fix their hypotheses before the models are run. We present Qistas (Arabic qistas, "the just balance"), a protocol for evaluating how LLMs treat the social, confessional, and regional constituencies of a society, portable across countries and instantiated first for Iraq. In its pilot form it measures only what needs no verdict on contested truth: procedural symmetry across matched counterfactual pairs, differential refusal, stereotype reliance under ambiguity, and terminological framing of documented events. Every measurement is paired by construction and analysed with paired machinery (sign-flip permutation tests, exact McNemar tests, template-clustered bootstrap intervals, Holm-corrected families), with a power analysis that states, before any data exist, the smallest effect each axis can detect after the design effect of template clustering. We release the authoring apparatus (a pruned 3x5 taxonomy with four cells closed by design, per-type checklists, a cumulative rulings log, a structural audit, and a human review notebook) and report its first field test: a semantic review of a 58-item seed bank in which 24 of 25 template groups failed at least one check. The defect patterns it exposed (evaluation criteria leaking into prompts, token-level swaps that break Arabic agreement, epistemically unbalanced pairs, single-theme refusal probes, unwritten dialect twins counted as coverage) are, we argue, general hazards of counterfactual fairness benchmarks. This is a protocol paper, not a results paper: no model has been evaluated, and the accompanying pre-registration commits the hypotheses, metrics, exclusion rules, and analysis plan that the pilot will follow.

Abstract:Fairness benchmarks for large language models (LLMs) are overwhelmingly English-born and American in their social categories; translated versions carry those categories into societies where they do not apply, and almost none fix their hypotheses before the models are run. We present Qistas (Arabic qistas, "the just balance"), a protocol for evaluating how LLMs treat the social, confessional, and regional constituencies of a society, portable across countries and instantiated first for Iraq. In its pilot form it measures only what needs no verdict on contested truth: procedural symmetry across matched counterfactual pairs, differential refusal, stereotype reliance under ambiguity, and terminological framing of documented events. Every measurement is paired by construction and analysed with paired machinery (sign-flip permutation tests, exact McNemar tests, template-clustered bootstrap intervals, Holm-corrected families), with a power analysis that states, before any data exist, the smallest effect each axis can detect after the design effect of template clustering. We release the authoring apparatus (a pruned 3x5 taxonomy with four cells closed by design, per-type checklists, a cumulative rulings log, a structural audit, and a human review notebook) and report its first field test: a semantic review of a 58-item seed bank in which 24 of 25 template groups failed at least one check. The defect patterns it exposed (evaluation criteria leaking into prompts, token-level swaps that break Arabic agreement, epistemically unbalanced pairs, single-theme refusal probes, unwritten dialect twins counted as coverage) are, we argue, general hazards of counterfactual fairness benchmarks. This is a protocol paper, not a results paper: no model has been evaluated, and the accompanying pre-registration commits the hypotheses, metrics, exclusion rules, and analysis plan that the pilot will follow.

19 pages, 1 figure, 5 tables. Protocol paper; no model results. Pre-registration: this https URL. Reference implementation: this https URL

Computation and Language (cs.CL); Computers and Society (cs.CY)

arXiv:2610.40893 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2610.40893v1 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.40893 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 392 words

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