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This research advances causal discovery by offering provable guarantees for reconstructing directed acyclic graphs in the presence of latent confounders, a critical challenge for reliable AI inference. The proposed method decomposes the precision matrix into sparse and low-rank components to isolate true conditional dependencies from hidden influences, establishing rigorous sample complexity bounds for accurate edge identification.
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Provable Guarantees and Efficient Learning of Structural Equation Models with Latent Confounders

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2609.18535v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery aims to recover causal relationships from observed data. In various fields, exploring causal relationships among variables remains an important topic, but this task becomes challenging due to the existence of latent confounders. Ignoring such confounders can lead to false associations and incorrect edge directions. In this paper, we study the linear structural equation model with latent confounders. We propose an algorithm that iteratively identifies terminal (observed) nodes and reconstructs the directed acyclic graph of the observed variables. To do this, we recover the precision matrix of the observed variables as a sparse plus low-rank matrix: a sparse matrix captures the conditional dependencies among observed variables, while a low-rank matrix captures the combined influence of a few latent confounders. We establish that for $p$ observed variables, $r$ latent confounders and $s$ edges, our procedure correctly identifies the directed causal relationship among observed variables, for $n \gtrsim \max\{s\log p,\ r p\}$ samples. Experimental results validate our theoretical contributions.

Abstract:Causal discovery aims to recover causal relationships from observed data. In various fields, exploring causal relationships among variables remains an important topic, but this task becomes challenging due to the existence of latent confounders. Ignoring such confounders can lead to false associations and incorrect edge directions. In this paper, we study the linear structural equation model with latent confounders. We propose an algorithm that iteratively identifies terminal (observed) nodes and reconstructs the directed acyclic graph of the observed variables. To do this, we recover the precision matrix of the observed variables as a sparse plus low-rank matrix: a sparse matrix captures the conditional dependencies among observed variables, while a low-rank matrix captures the combined influence of a few latent confounders. We establish that for $p$ observed variables, $r$ latent confounders and $s$ edges, our procedure correctly identifies the directed causal relationship among observed variables, for $n \gtrsim \max\{s\log p,\ r p\}$ samples. Experimental results validate our theoretical contributions.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

arXiv:2609.18535 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2609.18535v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.18535 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 255 words

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