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This research establishes a fundamental separation in mistake bounds between differentially private online learning and prediction for classes with finite Littlestone dimension. The study demonstrates that while private prediction can maintain low error independent of the time horizon, releasing hypotheses at each step incurs a significantly higher cost that grows with the duration of the stream. These theoretical limits define the inherent trade-offs between privacy preservation and accuracy in dynamic learning environments.
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Private online learning and prediction for Littlestone classes

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.06822v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study mistake bounds for differentially private online learning and online prediction under oblivious realisable adversaries. Online learning requires the learner to release a hypothesis at each time step whereas in online prediction, the learner only needs to make predictions without releasing a hypothesis. Using a novel lower bound for private online learning and an upper bound for private prediction, we show that the sample complexity of these two problems are separated by a factor that grows with the time horizon for every class of finite Littlestone dimension $d$. First, we prove that every $\br{\epsilon,\delta}$-private online learner has a deterministic realisable stream of length $T$ on which the mistake bound is at least $\bE\bs{M_T}=\Om{\frac d\epsilon \log\br{ T}^{2/3}}$. In particular, this is the first non-trivial lower in the range $1/T0$. Thus, for every fixed class of finite Littlestone dimension when $\delta=\Theta\br{1/\log T}$, private learning requires $\Om{\br{\log T}^{2/3}}$ expected mistakes, whereas private prediction admits $\bigO{\br{\log\log T}^2}$.

Abstract:We study mistake bounds for differentially private online learning and online prediction under oblivious realisable adversaries. Online learning requires the learner to release a hypothesis at each time step whereas in online prediction, the learner only needs to make predictions without releasing a hypothesis. Using a novel lower bound for private online learning and an upper bound for private prediction, we show that the sample complexity of these two problems are separated by a factor that grows with the time horizon for every class of finite Littlestone dimension $d$. First, we prove that every $\br{\epsilon,\delta}$-private online learner has a deterministic realisable stream of length $T$ on which the mistake bound is at least $\bE\bs{M_T}=\Om{\frac d\epsilon \log\br{ T}^{2/3}}$. In particular, this is the first non-trivial lower in the range $1/T<\delta<1/\log T)$ left open in earlier works[SR22,DSS24,LWY24]. Second, we prove that for every class of of Littlestone dimension $d$, there exists an $(\epsilon,\delta)$-jointly private predictor with at most $2^{2^{cd^2}}\epsilon^{-2}\log^2\br{2/\br{\epsilon\delta}}$ expected mistakes, independently of $T$, for some absolute constant $c>0$. Thus, for every fixed class of finite Littlestone dimension when $\delta=\Theta\br{1/\log T}$, private learning requires $\Om{\br{\log T}^{2/3}}$ expected mistakes, whereas private prediction admits $\bigO{\br{\log\log T}^2}$.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Cryptography and Security (cs.CR); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

arXiv:2610.06822 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2610.06822v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.06822 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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