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This research proposes a theoretical framework for "quantum markets" where asset valuations rely on non-commuting operators and graph-theoretic bounds rather than classical probability. By modeling financial instruments as outcomes of nonlocal games like CHSH, the study explores potential advantages of quantum assets over traditional ones within a speculative future economy. While currently theoretical, these findings offer foundational insights for how quantum computing principles might redefine risk assessment and asset pricing in advanced financial systems.
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Pricing of graph-based quantum portfolios from first principles

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.03279v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A central topic in economics and finance is the valuation of strategic games and bets, of investments providing uncertain future cashflows, and of other asset-like structures and contracts. Often, such valuation involves a probabilistic model, random variables, and computing expectation values of complex payoffs. Extending beyond this classical framework, a scenario emerges where assets are non-commuting operators and the inherent uncertainty is described by quantum states. In this work, we combine such notions of quantum finance with a graph-theoretic framework and ideas from contextuality. We discuss exclusive quantum assets and introduce scenarios when holding such assets can provide advantages over holding classical assets. In particular, we consider a "quantum market" based on nonlocal games such as the CHSH game and demonstrate that this setting can function as a market with well-defined financial structures. We provide upper bounds on the fair prices of the quantum assets based on graph-theoretic quantities like the independence number and the Lov\'asz theta number. Our insights into markets of non-commuting assets help to elucidate what a financial system in a world filled with quantum technology could look like.

Abstract:A central topic in economics and finance is the valuation of strategic games and bets, of investments providing uncertain future cashflows, and of other asset-like structures and contracts. Often, such valuation involves a probabilistic model, random variables, and computing expectation values of complex payoffs. Extending beyond this classical framework, a scenario emerges where assets are non-commuting operators and the inherent uncertainty is described by quantum states. In this work, we combine such notions of quantum finance with a graph-theoretic framework and ideas from contextuality. We discuss exclusive quantum assets and introduce scenarios when holding such assets can provide advantages over holding classical assets. In particular, we consider a "quantum market" based on nonlocal games such as the CHSH game and demonstrate that this setting can function as a market with well-defined financial structures. We provide upper bounds on the fair prices of the quantum assets based on graph-theoretic quantities like the independence number and the Lovász theta number. Our insights into markets of non-commuting assets help to elucidate what a financial system in a world filled with quantum technology could look like.

arXiv:2610.03279 [quant-ph]

(or arXiv:2610.03279v1 [quant-ph] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.03279 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 273 words

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