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This research advances deep learning applications in aerospace by autonomously extracting temporal degradation features from multivariate sensor data to predict remaining useful life. The model demonstrates superior generalizability across NASA C-MAPSS datasets compared to standard baselines like CNN-LSTM and BiLSTM, offering a robust decision-support tool for dynamic mission profiles.
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Predictive Maintenance: Deep Learning-Based Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Combat Aircraft Engines

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2608.01819v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: To improve the operational readiness of combat aircraft engines and reduce unplanned maintenance costs, accurately estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) is critical. Traditional maintenance often proves insufficient under dynamic mission profiles. In this study, a deep learning-based predictive maintenance model capable of autonomously extracting features from multivariate sensor data was developed. Using the NASA C-MAPSS FD001 and FD004 datasets, data were converted into sequential blocks via 50- and 30-step sliding windows, respectively. The model's architectural superiority in autonomously extracting temporal degradation features was validated against RF, CNN-LSTM, and BiLSTM baselines. On FD001, it achieved an R-squared (R2) of 0.8901, a 13.28 RMSE, and a 320.34 NASA risk score, demonstrating generalizability on the multi-regime FD004 dataset with a 15.71 RMSE. The proposed maintenance protocol achieved a 0.9973 AUC at the critical 30-cycle threshold, ensuring high reliability. Additionally, a decision-support simulator has been developed to validate this protocol under aggressive combat flight profiles.

Abstract:To improve the operational readiness of combat aircraft engines and reduce unplanned maintenance costs, accurately estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) is critical. Traditional maintenance often proves insufficient under dynamic mission profiles. In this study, a deep learning-based predictive maintenance model capable of autonomously extracting features from multivariate sensor data was developed. Using the NASA C-MAPSS FD001 and FD004 datasets, data were converted into sequential blocks via 50- and 30-step sliding windows, respectively. The model's architectural superiority in autonomously extracting temporal degradation features was validated against RF, CNN-LSTM, and BiLSTM baselines. On FD001, it achieved an R-squared (R2) of 0.8901, a 13.28 RMSE, and a 320.34 NASA risk score, demonstrating generalizability on the multi-regime FD004 dataset with a 15.71 RMSE. The proposed maintenance protocol achieved a 0.9973 AUC at the critical 30-cycle threshold, ensuring high reliability. Additionally, a decision-support simulator has been developed to validate this protocol under aggressive combat flight profiles.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Systems and Control (eess.SY)

I.2.6; H.2.8; C.4

arXiv:2608.01819 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2608.01819v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.01819 arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

F. Ürgen, D. Altınel, Predictive Maintenance: Deep Learning-Based Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Combat Aircraft Engines, Journal of Aeronautics and Space Technologies 19(2), 83-111 (2026)

Full text under the publisher's open licence · 205 words

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