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This study applies multi-output deep learning regression to simultaneously predict functional recovery and social isolation metrics in older adults using multimodal sensor data. The research demonstrates that joint prediction models outperform isolated approaches, with the NODE regressor achieving superior accuracy in estimating complex clinical trajectories. By leveraging SHAP analysis, the work highlights the critical role of diverse sensor inputs in capturing the nuanced relationship between physical mobility and social engagement during rehabilitation.
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Predicting Multiple Clinical Outcomes Related to Functional Recovery and Social Isolation Among Older Adults After Lower-Limb Fracture or Hip Replacement

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2608.23531v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Older adults recovering after lower-limb fracture or hip replacement may experience complex recovery trajectories. Most of the time, these clinical aspects are studied in isolation, masking their joint impact on recovery. This study used the MAISON-LLF dataset, which contains multimodal sensor and clinical assessment data from 18 older adults recovering in the community after lower-limb fracture or hip replacement. Participants were monitored for up to eight weeks, corresponding to a maximum of 1,008 participant-days of sensor monitoring. Forty-six daily features were extracted from indoor motion, acceleration, step count, heart rate, out-of-home mobility, and sleep data. Five clinical outcomes were assessed every two weeks: the Social Isolation Scale, Oxford Hip Score, Oxford Knee Score, Timed Up and Go test, and 30-second Chair Stand test. We utilize an inherent relationship between multi-modal sensor data and different clinical scores and formulate it as a multi-output regression problem. We tested various machine learning and deep learning single- and multi-output regression algorithms to predict these scores simultaneously. The results showed that predicting clinical scores jointly was better than separately. The tabular DL multi-output regressor, NODE, gave a remarkable performance of MSE=3.96 and MAE=1.02 in comparison to other multi- and single-output regressors. The SHAP feature analysis further showed the importance of including multimodal sensors to provide a good estimate of patients' recovery trajectory. This work may support the simultaneous assessment of functional recovery and social engagement among community-dwelling older adults and ultimately help improve their care and quality of life.

Abstract:Older adults recovering after lower-limb fracture or hip replacement may experience complex recovery trajectories. Most of the time, these clinical aspects are studied in isolation, masking their joint impact on recovery. This study used the MAISON-LLF dataset, which contains multimodal sensor and clinical assessment data from 18 older adults recovering in the community after lower-limb fracture or hip replacement. Participants were monitored for up to eight weeks, corresponding to a maximum of 1,008 participant-days of sensor monitoring. Forty-six daily features were extracted from indoor motion, acceleration, step count, heart rate, out-of-home mobility, and sleep data. Five clinical outcomes were assessed every two weeks: the Social Isolation Scale, Oxford Hip Score, Oxford Knee Score, Timed Up and Go test, and 30-second Chair Stand test. We utilize an inherent relationship between multi-modal sensor data and different clinical scores and formulate it as a multi-output regression problem. We tested various machine learning and deep learning single- and multi-output regression algorithms to predict these scores simultaneously. The results showed that predicting clinical scores jointly was better than separately. The tabular DL multi-output regressor, NODE, gave a remarkable performance of MSE=3.96 and MAE=1.02 in comparison to other multi- and single-output regressors. The SHAP feature analysis further showed the importance of including multimodal sensors to provide a good estimate of patients' recovery trajectory. This work may support the simultaneous assessment of functional recovery and social engagement among community-dwelling older adults and ultimately help improve their care and quality of life.

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2608.23531 [cs.CV]

(or arXiv:2608.23531v1 [cs.CV] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.23531 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 344 words

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