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This research introduces MT-GNN, a graph neural network model designed to predict the continuous-time evolution of brain subcortical structures using metric tensor embeddings and Fourier-encoded time horizons. By training end-to-end on rigid-aligned vertex error with differentiable solvers, the method achieves superior accuracy over existing mesh transformers and geodesic regression techniques across all tested ADNI datasets. The approach advances machine learning applications in neuroimaging by enabling precise prognosis of structural changes from sparse longitudinal scan histories.
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Predicting Brain Morphometry with MT-GNN: Mesh Evolution in Continuous Time with Graph-Based Metric Tensor Embeddings

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2608.05132v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predicting how a subcortical structure's shape will evolve from a few prior scans could support prognosis and clinical-trial enrichment. Existing longitudinal mesh predictors either extrapolate shape trajectories via high-dimensional embeddings or regress vertex deformations directly. We instead predict the surface's intrinsic geometry in continuous time: a single per-structure graph network predicts the future per-vertex first fundamental form (metric tensor) for an arbitrary causal multiple-visit history and an arbitrary prediction horizon, conditioned on a Fourier encoding of the lead time. The predicted metric is decoded into a surface by a differentiable As-Rigid-As-Possible solver, and the model is trained end-to-end on the rigid-aligned vertex error. Training through the reconstruction keeps the decoded prediction a valid surface and consistently improves it. On 14 subcortical structures from the ADNI dataset, the proposed mesh evolution model (MT-GNN) predicts best among the evaluated methods at every horizon ($-2.29\%$ mean vertex error vs. the temporal mean, $p{=}6.1{\times}10^{-5}$, beating it on 14/14 structures), ahead of geodesic shape regression (DCM, $-0.19\%$) and a mesh transformer (TransforMesh, $-0.45\%$; $p{=}1.2{\times}10^{-4}$), with the lead widening as the horizon grows.

Abstract:Predicting how a subcortical structure's shape will evolve from a few prior scans could support prognosis and clinical-trial enrichment. Existing longitudinal mesh predictors either extrapolate shape trajectories via high-dimensional embeddings or regress vertex deformations directly. We instead predict the surface's intrinsic geometry in continuous time: a single per-structure graph network predicts the future per-vertex first fundamental form (metric tensor) for an arbitrary causal multiple-visit history and an arbitrary prediction horizon, conditioned on a Fourier encoding of the lead time. The predicted metric is decoded into a surface by a differentiable As-Rigid-As-Possible solver, and the model is trained end-to-end on the rigid-aligned vertex error. Training through the reconstruction keeps the decoded prediction a valid surface and consistently improves it. On 14 subcortical structures from the ADNI dataset, the proposed mesh evolution model (MT-GNN) predicts best among the evaluated methods at every horizon ($-2.29\%$ mean vertex error vs. the temporal mean, $p{=}6.1{\times}10^{-5}$, beating it on 14/14 structures), ahead of geodesic shape regression (DCM, $-0.19\%$) and a mesh transformer (TransforMesh, $-0.45\%$; $p{=}1.2{\times}10^{-4}$), with the lead widening as the horizon grows.

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2608.05132 [cs.CV]

(or arXiv:2608.05132v1 [cs.CV] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.05132 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 277 words

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