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This research addresses a critical bottleneck in computational social science by introducing a framework to generate LLM personas that accurately reflect real-world population diversity, thereby reducing inherent biases in simulation datasets. By combining narrative generation from social media data with psychometric alignment techniques like importance sampling, the method enables more robust and representative agent-based modeling for policy and research applications.
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Population-Aligned Persona Generation for LLM-based Social Simulation

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2509.10127v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have enabled large-scale, high-fidelity social simulations, creating new opportunities for computational social science. However, constructing persona sets that faithfully reflect real-world population diversity remains a key challenge. Existing studies often emphasize agentic frameworks and simulation environments, while paying less attention to persona generation and the biases introduced by unrepresentative persona sets. In this paper, we propose a systematic framework for synthesizing high-quality, population-aligned persona sets for LLM-driven social simulation. Our approach begins by leveraging LLMs to generate narrative personas from long-term social media data, followed by rigorous quality assessment to filter out low-fidelity profiles. We then apply importance sampling to achieve global alignment with reference psychometric distributions, such as the Big Five personality traits. To address the needs of specific simulation contexts, we further introduce a task-specific module that adapts the globally aligned persona set to targeted subpopulations. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method significantly reduces population-level bias and enables accurate, flexible social simulation for a wide range of research and policy applications.

Abstract:Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have enabled large-scale, high-fidelity social simulations, creating new opportunities for computational social science. However, constructing persona sets that faithfully reflect real-world population diversity remains a key challenge. Existing studies often emphasize agentic frameworks and simulation environments, while paying less attention to persona generation and the biases introduced by unrepresentative persona sets. In this paper, we propose a systematic framework for synthesizing high-quality, population-aligned persona sets for LLM-driven social simulation. Our approach begins by leveraging LLMs to generate narrative personas from long-term social media data, followed by rigorous quality assessment to filter out low-fidelity profiles. We then apply importance sampling to achieve global alignment with reference psychometric distributions, such as the Big Five personality traits. To address the needs of specific simulation contexts, we further introduce a task-specific module that adapts the globally aligned persona set to targeted subpopulations. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method significantly reduces population-level bias and enables accurate, flexible social simulation for a wide range of research and policy applications.

Computation and Language (cs.CL); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2509.10127 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2509.10127v3 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2509.10127 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 269 words