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This research establishes rigorous non-asymptotic bounds for parameter estimation in unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems using single-trajectory data. By incorporating intentional exploratory inputs into the control policy, the work provides high-probability error guarantees essential for robust model-based reinforcement learning and adaptive control algorithms. These theoretical advances directly address critical challenges in ensuring stability and accuracy when training AI agents on dynamic, real-world physical systems.
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Non-Asymptotic Bounds for Closed-Loop Identification of Sub-Exponentially Growing Nonlinear Stochastic Systems

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2412.04157v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We investigate the problem of least squares parameter estimation from single-trajectory data for discrete-time, unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems. Specifically, we consider nonlinear systems with linearly parametrised uncertainty and additive i.i.d. process noise, in feedback with a control policy that is intentionally perturbed by an exploratory input. Assuming the open-loop dynamics satisfy a particular sub-exponential input-to-state growth property, and a region of the state space produces informative data, we establish non-asymptotic guarantees on the estimation error at times when the state trajectory evolves in this region. If the whole state space is informative, high-probability guarantees on the error hold for all times. Examples are provided where our results are useful for analysis beyond existing works.

Abstract:We investigate the problem of least squares parameter estimation from single-trajectory data for discrete-time, unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems. Specifically, we consider nonlinear systems with linearly parametrised uncertainty and additive i.i.d. process noise, in feedback with a control policy that is intentionally perturbed by an exploratory input. Assuming the open-loop dynamics satisfy a particular sub-exponential input-to-state growth property, and a region of the state space produces informative data, we establish non-asymptotic guarantees on the estimation error at times when the state trajectory evolves in this region. If the whole state space is informative, high-probability guarantees on the error hold for all times. Examples are provided where our results are useful for analysis beyond existing works.

Systems and Control (eess.SY); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Optimization and Control (math.OC)

arXiv:2412.04157 [eess.SY]

(or arXiv:2412.04157v2 [eess.SY] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2412.04157 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 215 words

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