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This preprint applies a latent diffusion model, fine-tuned with LoRA, to forecast patient-specific brain MRI changes in Alzheimer's disease. It reports an 18% drop in regional volume error against the second-best baseline on one ADNI test split, but the evaluation is confined to a single cohort and the clinical-deployment framing is not yet validated. Readers should note that inference relies on auxiliary predictors that estimate the withheld biomarkers, so the gains depend on how accurately those predictors perform.
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Multimodal-Conditioned Latent Diffusion Models for Spatiotemporal Brain MRI Forecasting

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2610.25481v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Spatiotemporal forecasting of 3D anatomical changes is a critical generative vision challenge for modeling Alzheimer's Disease (AD) progression. While brain MRI forecasting from single-modality data has advanced, other key complementary multimodal biomarkers remain underutilized. In this work, we propose the Multimodal-Conditioned Latent Diffusion Model (MC-LDM), a novel framework for patient-specific brain MRI synthesis. MC-LDM leverages multimodal biomarkers---MRI, tau-PET, Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR), and APOE4---during training, but relies only on baseline MRI, APOE4, and patient metadata at inference, reflecting realistic clinical availability. Our contributions are threefold: (1) a Latent Diffusion Model (LDM) fine-tuned via Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) for data-efficient learning; (2) a multimodal conditioning that integrates molecular and clinical signals to model heterogeneous disease trajectories; and (3) auxiliary predictors estimating unobserved multimodal biomarkers from MRI features and patient covariates to condition the diffusion model, removing the need for these assessments at inference. Trained on 1,355 visits from 852 subjects in the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), MC-LDM reduces average regional volumetric MAE by 18% over the second-best baseline on an independent test set of 664 visits. To our knowledge, MC-LDM represents the first diffusion-based framework to leverage multimodal priors for MRI forecasting. This conceptual advancement enables patient-specific trajectory generation that captures aspects of AD heterogeneity not observable from structural anatomy alone, bridging the gap between rich multimodal supervision and the strict constraints of routine clinical deployment. Code is available at: https://github.com/antonioscardace/MC-LDM.

Abstract:Spatiotemporal forecasting of 3D anatomical changes is a critical generative vision challenge for modeling Alzheimer's Disease (AD) progression. While brain MRI forecasting from single-modality data has advanced, other key complementary multimodal biomarkers remain underutilized. In this work, we propose the Multimodal-Conditioned Latent Diffusion Model (MC-LDM), a novel framework for patient-specific brain MRI synthesis. MC-LDM leverages multimodal biomarkers---MRI, tau-PET, Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR), and APOE4---during training, but relies only on baseline MRI, APOE4, and patient metadata at inference, reflecting realistic clinical availability. Our contributions are threefold: (1) a Latent Diffusion Model (LDM) fine-tuned via Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) for data-efficient learning; (2) a multimodal conditioning that integrates molecular and clinical signals to model heterogeneous disease trajectories; and (3) auxiliary predictors estimating unobserved multimodal biomarkers from MRI features and patient covariates to condition the diffusion model, removing the need for these assessments at inference. Trained on 1,355 visits from 852 subjects in the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), MC-LDM reduces average regional volumetric MAE by 18% over the second-best baseline on an independent test set of 664 visits. To our knowledge, MC-LDM represents the first diffusion-based framework to leverage multimodal priors for MRI forecasting. This conceptual advancement enables patient-specific trajectory generation that captures aspects of AD heterogeneity not observable from structural anatomy alone, bridging the gap between rich multimodal supervision and the strict constraints of routine clinical deployment. Code is available at: this https URL.

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2610.25481 [cs.CV]

(or arXiv:2610.25481v2 [cs.CV] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.25481 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 330 words