Lost in Aggregation: How Benchmarks Overlook Irreplaceable Model Strengths

Abstract:Tabular machine learning benchmarks typically summarize performance by averaging scores, ranks, or pairwise wins across datasets. Such aggregates are useful for selecting robust default models, but they can obscure a different question: which models are necessary to attain peak performance on particular datasets? We argue that benchmark evaluation should also consider the data-centric peak performance frontier, defined by the best statistically supported performance achieved on each dataset. From this perspective, a model may be irreplaceable, sufficient, redundant, or fallible depending on where it lies on the frontier relative to other models. Applying this framework to the TabArena benchmark, we find that common aggregation metrics are highly correlated and largely measure consistency and avoiding failures, while being much less aligned with dataset-level irreplaceability. Consequently, models performing decently across datasets without ever being the best choice are rewarded while models with unique dataset-specific strengths appear mediocre under aggregation. Hence, benchmark progress should be measured not only by improvements on aggregation metrics but also by whether new models expand the set of attainable peak performances across datasets.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2608.18919 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2608.18919v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.18919 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website.

Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them.

Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.