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NeoST represents a significant methodological shift by demonstrating that spatio-temporal foundation models can be effectively pre-trained exclusively on synthetic data to overcome real-world distributional biases. This approach addresses critical structural bottlenecks in current autoregressive paradigms, offering improved long-horizon stability and inference efficiency for complex dynamical systems without relying on noisy observational datasets.
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Learning Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models from Pure Synthetic Data

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2607.16251v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models (STFMs) aim to learn generalizable representations of complex dynamical systems across space and time. However, existing approaches suffer from distributional bias in real-world pre-training data, structural bottlenecks of autoregressive or diffusion-based paradigms, and objectives that overemphasize point-wise reconstruction in noisy observation space.We propose \textbf{NeoST}, the first spatio-temporal foundation model pre-trained solely on procedurally generated synthetic systems. NeoST introduces a scalable synthetic pre-training corpus to mitigate real-world bias, a latent-space reasoning architecture that generates and iteratively refines multiple future trajectories without sequential error accumulation, and latent-space objectives that emphasize structural dynamics and enable inference-time correction under distribution shifts.Extensive experiments across diverse real-world benchmarks show that NeoST consistently outperforms existing STFMs in diverse real-world spatio-temporal systems, achieves superior long-horizon stability and inference efficiency.

Abstract:Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models (STFMs) aim to learn generalizable representations of complex dynamical systems across space and time. However, existing approaches suffer from distributional bias in real-world pre-training data, structural bottlenecks of autoregressive or diffusion-based paradigms, and objectives that overemphasize point-wise reconstruction in noisy observation this http URL propose \textbf{NeoST}, the first spatio-temporal foundation model pre-trained solely on procedurally generated synthetic systems. NeoST introduces a scalable synthetic pre-training corpus to mitigate real-world bias, a latent-space reasoning architecture that generates and iteratively refines multiple future trajectories without sequential error accumulation, and latent-space objectives that emphasize structural dynamics and enable inference-time correction under distribution this http URL experiments across diverse real-world benchmarks show that NeoST consistently outperforms existing STFMs in diverse real-world spatio-temporal systems, achieves superior long-horizon stability and inference efficiency.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2607.16251 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2607.16251v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.16251 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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