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This paper presents MoHL, a novel machine learning framework that utilizes mixtures of hypergraph Laplacians to reconstruct traffic sensor data despite significant temporal gaps. By sharing weights across overlapping sensor groups, the method effectively pools scattered evidence to maintain high-fidelity reconstruction with far fewer parameters than standard deep imputation models. The approach demonstrates that leveraging higher-order relational structures is particularly advantageous when observational data is sparse or incomplete.
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Learning Higher-Order Interactions from Incomplete Spatiotemporal Data with Mixtures of Hypergraph Laplacians

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2605.17316v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Traffic sensor data exhibit strong temporal and cross-sensor dependencies, yet long gaps erase both a sensor's local history and the joint observations needed to learn its relationships with other sensors. We introduce MoHL, a mixture of hypergraph Laplacians that learns group-wise relational structure directly from incomplete spatiotemporal data. MoHL discovers overlapping sensor groups from observed co-variation, constructs a Laplacian component for each interaction order, and learns their mixture through holdouts that mimic the missingness pattern. By sharing weights across group-induced couplings, MoHL pools scattered evidence instead of estimating each coupling independently. We characterize the induced weight-sharing structure and analyze the conditions under which sharing reduces estimation risk. Experiments on three traffic networks show that higher-order groups are most beneficial under long gaps, while support-matched comparisons demonstrate the advantage of shared weights when relational evidence is scarce. MoHL achieves the lowest error among the evaluated baseline methods under day-long gaps, with orders of magnitude fewer learned parameters than deep imputers. These results show how group-wise sharing can sustain reliable reconstruction precisely when missingness depletes the evidence needed to learn cross-sensor dependence.

Abstract:Traffic sensor data exhibit strong temporal and cross-sensor dependencies, yet long gaps erase both a sensor's local history and the joint observations needed to learn its relationships with other sensors. We introduce MoHL, a mixture of hypergraph Laplacians that learns group-wise relational structure directly from incomplete spatiotemporal data. MoHL discovers overlapping sensor groups from observed co-variation, constructs a Laplacian component for each interaction order, and learns their mixture through holdouts that mimic the missingness pattern. By sharing weights across group-induced couplings, MoHL pools scattered evidence instead of estimating each coupling independently. We characterize the induced weight-sharing structure and analyze the conditions under which sharing reduces estimation risk. Experiments on three traffic networks show that higher-order groups are most beneficial under long gaps, while support-matched comparisons demonstrate the advantage of shared weights when relational evidence is scarce. MoHL achieves the lowest error among the evaluated baseline methods under day-long gaps, with orders of magnitude fewer learned parameters than deep imputers. These results show how group-wise sharing can sustain reliable reconstruction precisely when missingness depletes the evidence needed to learn cross-sensor dependence.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2605.17316 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2605.17316v2 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.17316 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 275 words

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