Instance-Adaptive Prompts as Context for Time-Series Foundation Models

Abstract:Longer histories can improve time-series foundation models (TSFMs), but require substantially higher inference cost. We therefore ask whether contextual information can be provided more efficiently through a compact set of learned token embeddings. We introduce PaCTS, which generates a small set of instance-adaptive latent prompts in the form of continuous embedding tokens conditioned on the visible context. These prompts serve as compact context surrogates for frozen TSFMs. PaCTS constructs them from instance-specific global statistics and further refines them with segment-level temporal information, capturing both global characteristics and local temporal variations. The prompt module is jointly trained and deployed across heterogeneous time series with the frozen backbone. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of prompts as context, consistently improving forecasting across context lengths and model architectures. With a shorter input context, PaCTS can outperform the same frozen backbone using double context while requiring substantially less inference computation. Compared with weight-space adaptation methods, PaCTS achieves stronger improvements and better out-of-distribution generalization.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2609.34786 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2609.34786v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.34786 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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