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This research applies continuous-time quantum walks to the seminal Kyle market model, demonstrating how quantum mechanics alters price impact dynamics and trader strategies compared to classical random walk assumptions. The study provides a theoretical framework for understanding equilibrium in financial markets where asset value evolution is governed by quantum rather than classical stochastic processes.
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Informed Trading model with quantum walks

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.06779v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The seminal Kyle model offers a framework to understand the price impact of an informed trader in a market model for a single asset. We study variants in which the asset's future value is modeled by a classical random walk and by a continuous-time quantum walk, respectively. With these assumptions, we analytically approximate and numerically identify the market equilibrium between risk-neutral market maker and informed trader. In the classical equilibrium, the informed trader possesses a linear strategy, whereas the market maker's pricing rule resembles a logistic curve. The informed trader's profit is also identified to grow sub-linearly with time t. In the quantum equilibrium, the informed trader's strategy forms multiple clusters and the pricing rule exhibits multiple jumps correspondingly. Despite the increasing non-linearity of the equilibrium, the informed trader's profit grows linearly with time t.

Abstract:The seminal Kyle model offers a framework to understand the price impact of an informed trader in a market model for a single asset. We study variants in which the asset's future value is modeled by a classical random walk and by a continuous-time quantum walk, respectively. With these assumptions, we analytically approximate and numerically identify the market equilibrium between risk-neutral market maker and informed trader. In the classical equilibrium, the informed trader possesses a linear strategy, whereas the market maker's pricing rule resembles a logistic curve. The informed trader's profit is also identified to grow sub-linearly with time t. In the quantum equilibrium, the informed trader's strategy forms multiple clusters and the pricing rule exhibits multiple jumps correspondingly. Despite the increasing non-linearity of the equilibrium, the informed trader's profit grows linearly with time t.

arXiv:2610.06779 [quant-ph]

(or arXiv:2610.06779v1 [quant-ph] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.06779 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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