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This research applies information-theoretic causal modeling, specifically entropy transfer rates via Liang-Kleeman and Pires formalism, to infer hidden dynamics in semiconductor manufacturing processes from raw log data. By distinguishing between deterministic and stochastic components of tool behavior, the framework identifies significant previously uncharacterized relationships while flagging inconsistencies with established process knowledge. The work represents a direct application of advanced AI/ML techniques—specifically causal inference and information theory—to optimize control systems for next-generation compute devices rather than focusing on consumer electronics or general software updates.
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Information-Theoretic Causal Modelling of Semiconductor Process Dynamics

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2608.14678v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: With the progress of the semiconductor industry toward increasingly complex compute devices and tighter process tolerances, advanced process control has become crucial. This work explores a novel framework to infer the underlying dynamics of semiconductor processes, directly from raw equipment log-file time-series data. By modelling the tool dynamics as a stochastic dynamical system comprising (a) a deterministic component and (b) a stochastic component, we estimate entropy transfer rates between variables through the Liang-Kleeman and Pires formalism. Preliminary results indicated that 7.5% of the inferred dependencies were known, 36.0% were plausible, 17.5% represented previously uncharacterised relationships, and 39.0% were inconsistent with established process knowledge. These findings demonstrate the framework's capability to uncover novel causal insights, while motivating further improvements to reduce inconsistent findings.

Abstract:With the progress of the semiconductor industry toward increasingly complex compute devices and tighter process tolerances, advanced process control has become crucial. This work explores a novel framework to infer the underlying dynamics of semiconductor processes, directly from raw equipment log-file time-series data. By modelling the tool dynamics as a stochastic dynamical system comprising (a) a deterministic component and (b) a stochastic component, we estimate entropy transfer rates between variables through the Liang-Kleeman and Pires formalism. Preliminary results indicated that 7.5% of the inferred dependencies were known, 36.0% were plausible, 17.5% represented previously uncharacterised relationships, and 39.0% were inconsistent with established process knowledge. These findings demonstrate the framework's capability to uncover novel causal insights, while motivating further improvements to reduce inconsistent findings.

Signal Processing (eess.SP); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Information Theory (cs.IT)

arXiv:2608.14678 [eess.SP]

(or arXiv:2608.14678v1 [eess.SP] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.14678 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 222 words

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