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This study demonstrates that the transformer-based foundation model TabPFN, utilizing in-context learning techniques, outperforms traditional baselines like Random Forest and XGBoost when analyzing small-scale datasets of mobility-impaired older adults. By applying SHAP-IQ for interpretability, researchers identified complex higher-order interactions between urban features—such as street circuity and road ratios—that significantly influence perceived walkability. The findings highlight the potential of advanced machine learning models to extract nuanced insights from limited data in specialized demographic applications.
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In-Context Learning to Assess Built Environment Impacts on Perceived Neighborhood Walkability Among Mobility-impaired Older Adults

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2608.14663v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As global populations age, enhancing neighborhood walkability through inclusive urban design is important for mitigating built environment (BE) barriers that discourage physical activity and social participation among older adults. This study investigates the utility of in-context learning (ICL), using the transformer-based foundation model TabPFN, to determine how BE features influence perceived walkability, as measured by the Neighborhood Environment Walkability Scale (NEWS-A) survey. Using a small-scale dataset (N = 257) comprising a unique demographic of older adults with knee osteoarthritis or a history of falls, TabPFN achieved a macro F1 score of 54.89% for walkability perceptions categorized as Low, Neutral, and High using equal-width binning. This result outperformed optimized, grid-searched baseline models, including Random Forest (45.85%) and XGBoost (50.56%). To interpret these results, we employed Shapley Interaction Quantification (SHAP-IQ) to identify the hierarchical importance of feature interactions. Preliminary results revealed that the model's predictive logic was primarily driven by higher-order interactions. For example, the interaction between average street circuity and the ratio of drivable roads emerged as the primary discriminator of perceived walkability. Neighborhood greenery was found to have substantial predictive importance only when combined with an individual's fear of falling or perception of age-friendliness. Overall, ICL using TabPFN demonstrates superior performance on small-scale datasets, enhancing the fidelity of the resulting interpretive insights. Furthermore, SHAP-IQ provides a synergistic perspective on how higher-order feature interactions drive the model's predictions.

Abstract:As global populations age, enhancing neighborhood walkability through inclusive urban design is important for mitigating built environment (BE) barriers that discourage physical activity and social participation among older adults. This study investigates the utility of in-context learning (ICL), using the transformer-based foundation model TabPFN, to determine how BE features influence perceived walkability, as measured by the Neighborhood Environment Walkability Scale (NEWS-A) survey. Using a small-scale dataset (N = 257) comprising a unique demographic of older adults with knee osteoarthritis or a history of falls, TabPFN achieved a macro F1 score of 54.89% for walkability perceptions categorized as Low, Neutral, and High using equal-width binning. This result outperformed optimized, grid-searched baseline models, including Random Forest (45.85%) and XGBoost (50.56%). To interpret these results, we employed Shapley Interaction Quantification (SHAP-IQ) to identify the hierarchical importance of feature interactions. Preliminary results revealed that the model's predictive logic was primarily driven by higher-order interactions. For example, the interaction between average street circuity and the ratio of drivable roads emerged as the primary discriminator of perceived walkability. Neighborhood greenery was found to have substantial predictive importance only when combined with an individual's fear of falling or perception of age-friendliness. Overall, ICL using TabPFN demonstrates superior performance on small-scale datasets, enhancing the fidelity of the resulting interpretive insights. Furthermore, SHAP-IQ provides a synergistic perspective on how higher-order feature interactions drive the model's predictions.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Applications (stat.AP)

arXiv:2608.14663 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2608.14663v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.14663 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 323 words

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