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This research presents HydroJEV, a training-free AI model capable of triaging SCADA alarms in water networks within one second, significantly outperforming frontier LLMs in speed while matching rule-based systems in accuracy. By serving as a rapid first-tier screen, the model reduces computational load on downstream reviewers and addresses critical data scarcity issues where labeled cyberattack incidents are rare. The approach demonstrates practical viability for real-time infrastructure security without relying on extensive historical training datasets.
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HydroJEV: A one-second, training-free screen for cyber-attack and fault attribution in water distribution networks

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2610.02048v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: When a SCADA alarm is raised in a water distribution network, operators must decide quickly whether it reflects a cyberattack, a physical fault, a normal transient or a faulty sensor. Supervised classifiers need labelled incidents that utilities rarely have, and frontier large language models (LLMs) take tens of seconds per decision. We tested whether Jev, a training-free model that returns class probabilities in about one second, can serve as the first tier of this triage. On a four-class cause-attribution benchmark built on the C-Town network in EPANET, Jev was compared with a hand-written rule tree, a supervised classifier and seven cloud LLMs on identical evidence in four sealed, pre-registered rounds. With only a label-free prior correction, Jev matched the rule tree (macro-F1 0.62-0.64 against 0.56-0.61 in distribution) and exceeded the supervised classifier by 0.36-0.42 on event subtypes absent from its labels, in all four rounds, and it outperformed the classifier whenever fewer than about four labelled events per class were available. Jev also decided 20-40 times faster than frontier LLMs. Accepting only benign Jev verdicts confirmed by the rule tree spared an LLM reviewer 35-38% of windows on fresh sealed sets without loss of macro-F1. Transferred unchanged to two further networks, this gated cascade stayed within the non-inferiority margin of its reviewer on all four sets. A fast, training-free screen can therefore take over about a third of the review load in SCADA anomaly triage while preserving the accuracy of deliberate review.

Abstract:When a SCADA alarm is raised in a water distribution network, operators must decide quickly whether it reflects a cyberattack, a physical fault, a normal transient or a faulty sensor. Supervised classifiers need labelled incidents that utilities rarely have, and frontier large language models (LLMs) take tens of seconds per decision. We tested whether Jev, a training-free model that returns class probabilities in about one second, can serve as the first tier of this triage. On a four-class cause-attribution benchmark built on the C-Town network in EPANET, Jev was compared with a hand-written rule tree, a supervised classifier and seven cloud LLMs on identical evidence in four sealed, pre-registered rounds. With only a label-free prior correction, Jev matched the rule tree (macro-F1 0.62-0.64 against 0.56-0.61 in distribution) and exceeded the supervised classifier by 0.36-0.42 on event subtypes absent from its labels, in all four rounds, and it outperformed the classifier whenever fewer than about four labelled events per class were available. Jev also decided 20-40 times faster than frontier LLMs. Accepting only benign Jev verdicts confirmed by the rule tree spared an LLM reviewer 35-38% of windows on fresh sealed sets without loss of macro-F1. Transferred unchanged to two further networks, this gated cascade stayed within the non-inferiority margin of its reviewer on all four sets. A fast, training-free screen can therefore take over about a third of the review load in SCADA anomaly triage while preserving the accuracy of deliberate review.

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2610.02048 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2610.02048v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.02048 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 336 words

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