Hadronic Mono-Z Dark Matter Sensitivity with Flow Matching on CMS Open Data

arXiv:2609.02923v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a projected sensitivity study for hadronic mono-$Z$ dark-matter production using CMS Run~2015D HTMHT open data corresponding to 2.256382381~\invfb, from which 1{,}439{,}523 events satisfy the hadronic mono-$Z$ selection. Backgrounds are modelled with a conditional flow-matching continuous normalizing flow trained on the selected HTMHT events and evaluated on a held-out validation split reweighted to the full selected population. To mitigate artifacts from missing-object features and avoid in-sample scoring bias we apply sentinel imputation for undefined angular features, persist the train/validation split indices, and enforce a minimum reported background yield of 20 events when selecting the working point. A signal-side offline trigger proxy is applied to the simulated signal before scoring. Under this procedure the baseline analysis yields expected significances of 2.89$\sigma$, 7.62$\sigma$, and 7.41$\sigma$ for three simplified-model benchmarks. An ablation study that removes the detailed extra-jet kinematics reduces the expected significance by 53--71\%, indicating that extra-jet topology carries substantial discriminating power in the hadronic mono-$Z$ channel. These results are projected sensitivities (no unblinding performed); the limitations and reproducibility of the study are discussed in Sections limitations and reproducibility.

Abstract:We present a projected sensitivity study for hadronic mono-$Z$ dark-matter production using CMS Run~2015D HTMHT open data corresponding to 2.256382381~\invfb, from which 1{,}439{,}523 events satisfy the hadronic mono-$Z$ selection. Backgrounds are modelled with a conditional flow-matching continuous normalizing flow trained on the selected HTMHT events and evaluated on a held-out validation split reweighted to the full selected population. To mitigate artifacts from missing-object features and avoid in-sample scoring bias we apply sentinel imputation for undefined angular features, persist the train/validation split indices, and enforce a minimum reported background yield of 20 events when selecting the working point. A signal-side offline trigger proxy is applied to the simulated signal before scoring. Under this procedure the baseline analysis yields expected significances of 2.89$\sigma$, 7.62$\sigma$, and 7.41$\sigma$ for three simplified-model benchmarks. An ablation study that removes the detailed extra-jet kinematics reduces the expected significance by 53--71\%, indicating that extra-jet topology carries substantial discriminating power in the hadronic mono-$Z$ channel. These results are projected sensitivities (no unblinding performed); the limitations and reproducibility of the study are discussed in Sections limitations and reproducibility.

Companion study to arXiv:2607.13771v1 (leptonic channel)

High Energy Physics - Experiment (hep-ex); Machine Learning (cs.LG); High Energy Physics - Phenomenology (hep-ph); Instrumentation and Detectors (physics.ins-det)

arXiv:2609.02923 [hep-ex]

(or arXiv:2609.02923v1 [hep-ex] for this version)

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Hadronic Mono-Z Dark Matter Sensitivity with Flow Matching on CMS Open Data

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