aiqbench analysis
This research introduces GAUGE, a formal framework that evaluates cryptographic security as a function of heterogeneous adversary cost models rather than a single bit-security metric. By treating ranking reversals between schemes like ML-KEM and AES as structural properties of these profiles, the work provides auditable tools to assess robustness against shifts in quantum resource pricing and lattice-sieving costs. The study directly impacts the reliability of post-quantum standards by offering polynomial-time verification procedures for security claims under uncertain future attack scenarios.
GAUGE: A Formal Framework for Measuring Cryptographic Security under Heterogeneous Adversary Cost Models
arXiv:2609.17281v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Standards bodies report cryptographic security as a single number of bits, but this value depends on the adversary cost model used to price time, memory, and quantum resources. Different conventions can therefore produce different rankings of cryptographic schemes. GAUGE represents security as a function over admissible cost models, called a security profile. Comparisons then become comparisons between profiles, and ranking reversals become an explicit structural property rather than a measurement error. We formalize price functionals over a cone of adversary cost models, show that security profiles are piecewise-linear and concave, and prove a rating trilemma: when two profiles cross, no rating can simultaneously be faithful to underlying costs, total over comparable pairs, and independent of the chosen cost model. We provide a polynomial-time linear-programming procedure that certifies whether the ranking of two schemes is robust, reverses under admissible models, or is genuinely incomparable. We extend GAUGE with a two-layer risk measure combining stochastic cryptanalytic decay with uncertainty over the appropriate cost model. We evaluate the framework on NIST post-quantum standards, classical anchors, and a 25-year chronology of cryptanalytic breaks. The analysis certifies a ranking reversal for ML-KEM-512 versus AES-128 from a 4-5% shift in memory pricing, and measures a lattice-sieving cost drift of 9.79 bits per year over eight years. A hybrid X25519 + ML-KEM-768 handshake reduces combined-break probability twenty-fold at a 2.3 kilobyte cost. The artifact reproduces all tables and figures in under seven seconds. GAUGE provides an explicit and auditable framework for reporting cryptographic security under competing cost models.
Abstract:Standards bodies report cryptographic security as a single number of bits, but this value depends on the adversary cost model used to price time, memory, and quantum resources. Different conventions can therefore produce different rankings of cryptographic schemes. GAUGE represents security as a function over admissible cost models, called a security profile. Comparisons then become comparisons between profiles, and ranking reversals become an explicit structural property rather than a measurement error. We formalize price functionals over a cone of adversary cost models, show that security profiles are piecewise-linear and concave, and prove a rating trilemma: when two profiles cross, no rating can simultaneously be faithful to underlying costs, total over comparable pairs, and independent of the chosen cost model. We provide a polynomial-time linear-programming procedure that certifies whether the ranking of two schemes is robust, reverses under admissible models, or is genuinely incomparable. We extend GAUGE with a two-layer risk measure combining stochastic cryptanalytic decay with uncertainty over the appropriate cost model. We evaluate the framework on NIST post-quantum standards, classical anchors, and a 25-year chronology of cryptanalytic breaks. The analysis certifies a ranking reversal for ML-KEM-512 versus AES-128 from a 4-5% shift in memory pricing, and measures a lattice-sieving cost drift of 9.79 bits per year over eight years. A hybrid X25519 + ML-KEM-768 handshake reduces combined-break probability twenty-fold at a 2.3 kilobyte cost. The artifact reproduces all tables and figures in under seven seconds. GAUGE provides an explicit and auditable framework for reporting cryptographic security under competing cost models.
Cryptography and Security (cs.CR); Quantum Physics (quant-ph)
arXiv:2609.17281 [cs.CR]
(or arXiv:2609.17281v1 [cs.CR] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.17281 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 349 words
