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This theoretical paper proves that a two-layer attention-only Transformer can implement a finite-temperature version of Q-learning, with a temperature parameter that interpolates toward greedy action selection, and it backs the claim with experiments on random MDPs. The main value is the analysis of optimization cost: the authors estimate that gradient steps needed to approach window Q-learning grow as τ⁻⁵, which quantifies a practical tradeoff for in-context RL. Results are limited to a simplified random-task model and a small architecture, so readers should treat them as mechanistic evidence rather than a guide to scaling in-context RL to real tasks.
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From Policy Evaluation to Off-Policy Control: Provable Emergence of In-Context Q-Learning

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.18057v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Transformers can implement reinforcement-learning algorithms in context, yet how off-policy control emerges within Transformers remains poorly understood. We study Q-learning, a foundational model-free control algorithm that combines off-policy bootstrapping with greedy policy improvement. We prove that a two-layer attention-only Transformer can implement a finite-temperature form of Q-learning, where the temperature $\tau>0$ controls the approximation to greedy action selection, recovering window Q-learning as $\tau\to0$. We train the structured Transformer on randomly generated MDP tasks using output-only supervision. Experiments show that the theoretically predicted parameter structure emerges during training, including the internal greedy action-selection mechanism, and that the trained Transformer achieves performance comparable to Q-learning on unseen tasks. Our theoretical analysis further shows that the equivalent realizations form a solution manifold and that, under suitable task-diversity conditions, the training iterates converge locally to this manifold at an exponential rate. For the random-task model analyzed here, the local worst-case number of gradient steps needed to reduce the distance to the manifold by a factor $\epsilon$ is $\Theta\left(\tau^{-5}\log(1/\varepsilon)\right)$, quantifying the increasing optimization cost as the learned update approaches window Q-learning.

Abstract:Transformers can implement reinforcement-learning algorithms in context, yet how off-policy control emerges within Transformers remains poorly understood. We study Q-learning, a foundational model-free control algorithm that combines off-policy bootstrapping with greedy policy improvement. We prove that a two-layer attention-only Transformer can implement a finite-temperature form of Q-learning, where the temperature $\tau>0$ controls the approximation to greedy action selection, recovering window Q-learning as $\tau\to0$. We train the structured Transformer on randomly generated MDP tasks using output-only supervision. Experiments show that the theoretically predicted parameter structure emerges during training, including the internal greedy action-selection mechanism, and that the trained Transformer achieves performance comparable to Q-learning on unseen tasks. Our theoretical analysis further shows that the equivalent realizations form a solution manifold and that, under suitable task-diversity conditions, the training iterates converge locally to this manifold at an exponential rate. For the random-task model analyzed here, the local worst-case number of gradient steps needed to reduce the distance to the manifold by a factor $\epsilon$ is $\Theta\left(\tau^{-5}\log(1/\varepsilon)\right)$, quantifying the increasing optimization cost as the learned update approaches window Q-learning.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2610.18057 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2610.18057v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.18057 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 273 words

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